Recent Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas surveys show Benedita da Silva (PT) leading overall while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) holds a narrow numerical edge for second place at 8–20.5%, ahead of Carlos Jordy (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Carlos Portinho (PL) who sit in a technical tie around 6–17.8%. The tight contest for the second Senate seat stems from vote fragmentation among right-leaning and center-right contenders, including PL allies of Flávio Bolsonaro, contrasted with Benedita’s stronger consolidation of PT and allied support. Crivella’s incremental polling gains since July, alongside high undecided and blank ballots near 25–37%, sustain trader consensus around his positioning. Upcoming Real Time Big Data fieldwork and any shifts in campaign alliances or turnout patterns could alter separation among the clustered contenders before the October 4 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于马塞洛·克里韦拉 56.5%
贝尼迪塔·达席尔瓦 16%
卡洛斯·乔尔迪 14%
佩德罗·保罗 13.8%
$53,384 交易量
$53,384 交易量
2026-10-04
马塞洛·克里韦拉
56%
贝尼迪塔·达席尔瓦
16%
卡洛斯·乔尔迪
14%
佩德罗·保罗
14%
卡洛斯·波尔蒂尼奥
4%
莫妮卡·贝尼西奥
1%
瓦吉尼奥
<1%
马科斯·迪亚斯
<1%
Ó Clemente
<1%
安德烈·蒙泰罗
<1%
Helio Secco
<1%
卢西亚诺·马托斯
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
<1%
米歇利·哈维尔
<1%
保拉·法尔考
<1%
维尼修斯·贝内维德斯
<1%
马塞洛·克里韦拉 56.5%
贝尼迪塔·达席尔瓦 16%
卡洛斯·乔尔迪 14%
佩德罗·保罗 13.8%
$53,384 交易量
$53,384 交易量
2026-10-04
马塞洛·克里韦拉
$7,811 交易量
56%
贝尼迪塔·达席尔瓦
$9,522 交易量
16%
卡洛斯·乔尔迪
$11,143 交易量
14%
佩德罗·保罗
$7,807 交易量
14%
卡洛斯·波尔蒂尼奥
$5,369 交易量
4%
莫妮卡·贝尼西奥
$2,052 交易量
1%
瓦吉尼奥
$1,319 交易量
<1%
马科斯·迪亚斯
$896 交易量
<1%
Ó Clemente
$1,292 交易量
<1%
安德烈·蒙泰罗
$2,185 交易量
<1%
Helio Secco
$1,128 交易量
<1%
卢西亚诺·马托斯
$597 交易量
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
$608 交易量
<1%
米歇利·哈维尔
$601 交易量
<1%
保拉·法尔考
$520 交易量
<1%
维尼修斯·贝内维德斯
$533 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas surveys show Benedita da Silva (PT) leading overall while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) holds a narrow numerical edge for second place at 8–20.5%, ahead of Carlos Jordy (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Carlos Portinho (PL) who sit in a technical tie around 6–17.8%. The tight contest for the second Senate seat stems from vote fragmentation among right-leaning and center-right contenders, including PL allies of Flávio Bolsonaro, contrasted with Benedita’s stronger consolidation of PT and allied support. Crivella’s incremental polling gains since July, alongside high undecided and blank ballots near 25–37%, sustain trader consensus around his positioning. Upcoming Real Time Big Data fieldwork and any shifts in campaign alliances or turnout patterns could alter separation among the clustered contenders before the October 4 election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
交易量
$53,384结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas surveys show Benedita da Silva (PT) leading overall while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) holds a narrow numerical edge for second place at 8–20.5%, ahead of Carlos Jordy (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Carlos Portinho (PL) who sit in a technical tie around 6–17.8%. The tight contest for the second Senate seat stems from vote fragmentation among right-leaning and center-right contenders, including PL allies of Flávio Bolsonaro, contrasted with Benedita’s stronger consolidation of PT and allied support. Crivella’s incremental polling gains since July, alongside high undecided and blank ballots near 25–37%, sustain trader consensus around his positioning. Upcoming Real Time Big Data fieldwork and any shifts in campaign alliances or turnout patterns could alter separation among the clustered contenders before the October 4 election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$53,384结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETRecent Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas surveys show Benedita da Silva (PT) leading overall while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) holds a narrow numerical edge for second place at 8–20.5%, ahead of Carlos Jordy (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Carlos Portinho (PL) who sit in a technical tie around 6–17.8%. The tight contest for the second Senate seat stems from vote fragmentation among right-leaning and center-right contenders, including PL allies of Flávio Bolsonaro, contrasted with Benedita’s stronger consolidation of PT and allied support. Crivella’s incremental polling gains since July, alongside high undecided and blank ballots near 25–37%, sustain trader consensus around his positioning. Upcoming Real Time Big Data fieldwork and any shifts in campaign alliances or turnout patterns could alter separation among the clustered contenders before the October 4 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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