Recent polling for Sergipe's October 4 Senate contest shows a fragmented field, with Edvaldo, Delegado André David, André Moura, Rogério Carvalho, and Delegado Alessandro clustered near the top in estimates of first-place support. High shares of undecided voters and those still weighing second preferences have kept any single candidate from pulling ahead decisively. Official candidacies are set, alliances are largely formed, and the campaign period is underway with limited time remaining before voting. This environment sustains tight implied probabilities for 1st place, as modest shifts in turnout among key regional or party blocs or late consolidation behind one name could reorder the standings ahead of election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Delegado André David 37%
Edvaldo 24.5%
André Moura 19.9%
Rogerio Carvalho 17.3%
$34,216 交易量
$34,216 交易量
2026-10-04
Delegado André David
37%
Edvaldo
25%
André Moura
20%
Rogerio Carvalho
17%
Eduardo Amorim
3%
Rodrigo Valadares
3%
Iran Barbosa
1%
Paulinho da União Tur
1%
Delegado Alessandro
<1%
Renatinha
<1%
Coronel Rocha
<1%
Delegado André David 37%
Edvaldo 24.5%
André Moura 19.9%
Rogerio Carvalho 17.3%
$34,216 交易量
$34,216 交易量
2026-10-04
Delegado André David
$18,032 交易量
37%
Edvaldo
$756 交易量
25%
André Moura
$6,655 交易量
20%
Rogerio Carvalho
$3,929 交易量
17%
Eduardo Amorim
$1,716 交易量
3%
Rodrigo Valadares
$657 交易量
3%
Iran Barbosa
$473 交易量
1%
Paulinho da União Tur
$336 交易量
1%
Delegado Alessandro
$772 交易量
<1%
Renatinha
$455 交易量
<1%
Coronel Rocha
$435 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for Sergipe's October 4 Senate contest shows a fragmented field, with Edvaldo, Delegado André David, André Moura, Rogério Carvalho, and Delegado Alessandro clustered near the top in estimates of first-place support. High shares of undecided voters and those still weighing second preferences have kept any single candidate from pulling ahead decisively. Official candidacies are set, alliances are largely formed, and the campaign period is underway with limited time remaining before voting. This environment sustains tight implied probabilities for 1st place, as modest shifts in turnout among key regional or party blocs or late consolidation behind one name could reorder the standings ahead of election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
交易量
$34,216结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for Sergipe's October 4 Senate contest shows a fragmented field, with Edvaldo, Delegado André David, André Moura, Rogério Carvalho, and Delegado Alessandro clustered near the top in estimates of first-place support. High shares of undecided voters and those still weighing second preferences have kept any single candidate from pulling ahead decisively. Official candidacies are set, alliances are largely formed, and the campaign period is underway with limited time remaining before voting. This environment sustains tight implied probabilities for 1st place, as modest shifts in turnout among key regional or party blocs or late consolidation behind one name could reorder the standings ahead of election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$34,216结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETRecent polling for Sergipe's October 4 Senate contest shows a fragmented field, with Edvaldo, Delegado André David, André Moura, Rogério Carvalho, and Delegado Alessandro clustered near the top in estimates of first-place support. High shares of undecided voters and those still weighing second preferences have kept any single candidate from pulling ahead decisively. Official candidacies are set, alliances are largely formed, and the campaign period is underway with limited time remaining before voting. This environment sustains tight implied probabilities for 1st place, as modest shifts in turnout among key regional or party blocs or late consolidation behind one name could reorder the standings ahead of election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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