The Mato Grosso gubernatorial race features incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) seeking re-election against senator Wellington Fagundes (PL) and lower-polling candidates including Doutora Natasha (PSD), with the first round set for October 4. Trader consensus prices Fagundes as the clear favorite at 60.5% implied probability, ahead of Pivetta at 38%, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments of path-to-victory factors such as Fagundes' established alliances across PL, MDB, and Novo alongside his long parliamentary record and regional outreach on decentralized governance. This positioning diverges from the latest Paraná Pesquisas survey, which shows Pivetta leading 40.8% to 30%. Pivetta's recent polling gains and incumbency advantages remain key variables that could influence outcomes in the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于韦灵顿·法贡德斯 61%
奥塔维亚诺·皮维塔 38%
毛里西奥·科埃略 <1%
萨金托·劳迪谢里奥 <1%
$25,338 交易量
$25,338 交易量
2026-10-04
韦灵顿·法贡德斯
61%
奥塔维亚诺·皮维塔
38%
毛里西奥·科埃略
<1%
萨金托·劳迪谢里奥
<1%
娜塔莎博士
<1%
拉法埃尔·米拉斯
<1%
韦灵顿·法贡德斯 61%
奥塔维亚诺·皮维塔 38%
毛里西奥·科埃略 <1%
萨金托·劳迪谢里奥 <1%
$25,338 交易量
$25,338 交易量
2026-10-04
韦灵顿·法贡德斯
$13,656 交易量
61%
奥塔维亚诺·皮维塔
$8,065 交易量
38%
毛里西奥·科埃略
$1,063 交易量
<1%
萨金托·劳迪谢里奥
$689 交易量
<1%
娜塔莎博士
$995 交易量
<1%
拉法埃尔·米拉斯
$870 交易量
<1%
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Mato Grosso gubernatorial race features incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) seeking re-election against senator Wellington Fagundes (PL) and lower-polling candidates including Doutora Natasha (PSD), with the first round set for October 4. Trader consensus prices Fagundes as the clear favorite at 60.5% implied probability, ahead of Pivetta at 38%, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments of path-to-victory factors such as Fagundes' established alliances across PL, MDB, and Novo alongside his long parliamentary record and regional outreach on decentralized governance. This positioning diverges from the latest Paraná Pesquisas survey, which shows Pivetta leading 40.8% to 30%. Pivetta's recent polling gains and incumbency advantages remain key variables that could influence outcomes in the final weeks.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
交易量
$25,338结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETThe Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Mato Grosso gubernatorial race features incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) seeking re-election against senator Wellington Fagundes (PL) and lower-polling candidates including Doutora Natasha (PSD), with the first round set for October 4. Trader consensus prices Fagundes as the clear favorite at 60.5% implied probability, ahead of Pivetta at 38%, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments of path-to-victory factors such as Fagundes' established alliances across PL, MDB, and Novo alongside his long parliamentary record and regional outreach on decentralized governance. This positioning diverges from the latest Paraná Pesquisas survey, which shows Pivetta leading 40.8% to 30%. Pivetta's recent polling gains and incumbency advantages remain key variables that could influence outcomes in the final weeks.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$25,338结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETThe Mato Grosso gubernatorial race features incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) seeking re-election against senator Wellington Fagundes (PL) and lower-polling candidates including Doutora Natasha (PSD), with the first round set for October 4. Trader consensus prices Fagundes as the clear favorite at 60.5% implied probability, ahead of Pivetta at 38%, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments of path-to-victory factors such as Fagundes' established alliances across PL, MDB, and Novo alongside his long parliamentary record and regional outreach on decentralized governance. This positioning diverges from the latest Paraná Pesquisas survey, which shows Pivetta leading 40.8% to 30%. Pivetta's recent polling gains and incumbency advantages remain key variables that could influence outcomes in the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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