Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in the Federal District’s two-seat Senate race, driven by consistent polling leads ahead of the October 4, 2026, election. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, conducted in early September, show her with 26% support—well ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) at 17%, Erika Kokay (PT) at 13-15%, and Bia Kicis (PL) at 11-17%—reflecting her strong name recognition and backing from the PL party apparatus. The second seat remains contested within the margin of error among the top contenders, while lower-polling candidates trail significantly. Earlier internal party tensions in mid-2026 briefly raised questions about her candidacy, but confirmed registration and subsequent polling gains have reinforced her frontrunner status among traders assessing vote concentration and turnout patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于米歇尔·博尔索纳罗 83%
Leila do Vôlei 2.5%
比阿·基西斯 1.4%
埃丽卡·科卡伊 1.1%
$28,216 交易量
$28,216 交易量
2026-10-04
米歇尔·博尔索纳罗
83%
Leila do Vôlei
3%
比阿·基西斯
1%
埃丽卡·科卡伊
1%
古托·费利西奥·多斯·桑托斯
<1%
Avenir Rosa
<1%
大卫·霍恩
<1%
吉列尔梅·阿莫林教授
<1%
罗纳尔多·丰塞卡
<1%
塞巴斯蒂昂·科埃略
<1%
马利
<1%
蒂亚戈
<1%
扎纳塔
<1%
米歇尔·博尔索纳罗 83%
Leila do Vôlei 2.5%
比阿·基西斯 1.4%
埃丽卡·科卡伊 1.1%
$28,216 交易量
$28,216 交易量
2026-10-04
米歇尔·博尔索纳罗
$12,180 交易量
83%
Leila do Vôlei
$4,157 交易量
3%
比阿·基西斯
$4,333 交易量
1%
埃丽卡·科卡伊
$2,021 交易量
1%
古托·费利西奥·多斯·桑托斯
$794 交易量
<1%
Avenir Rosa
$801 交易量
<1%
大卫·霍恩
$505 交易量
<1%
吉列尔梅·阿莫林教授
$795 交易量
<1%
罗纳尔多·丰塞卡
$674 交易量
<1%
塞巴斯蒂昂·科埃略
$556 交易量
<1%
马利
$381 交易量
<1%
蒂亚戈
$489 交易量
<1%
扎纳塔
$530 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in the Federal District’s two-seat Senate race, driven by consistent polling leads ahead of the October 4, 2026, election. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, conducted in early September, show her with 26% support—well ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) at 17%, Erika Kokay (PT) at 13-15%, and Bia Kicis (PL) at 11-17%—reflecting her strong name recognition and backing from the PL party apparatus. The second seat remains contested within the margin of error among the top contenders, while lower-polling candidates trail significantly. Earlier internal party tensions in mid-2026 briefly raised questions about her candidacy, but confirmed registration and subsequent polling gains have reinforced her frontrunner status among traders assessing vote concentration and turnout patterns.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
交易量
$28,216结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in the Federal District’s two-seat Senate race, driven by consistent polling leads ahead of the October 4, 2026, election. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, conducted in early September, show her with 26% support—well ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) at 17%, Erika Kokay (PT) at 13-15%, and Bia Kicis (PL) at 11-17%—reflecting her strong name recognition and backing from the PL party apparatus. The second seat remains contested within the margin of error among the top contenders, while lower-polling candidates trail significantly. Earlier internal party tensions in mid-2026 briefly raised questions about her candidacy, but confirmed registration and subsequent polling gains have reinforced her frontrunner status among traders assessing vote concentration and turnout patterns.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$28,216结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETMichelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in the Federal District’s two-seat Senate race, driven by consistent polling leads ahead of the October 4, 2026, election. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, conducted in early September, show her with 26% support—well ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) at 17%, Erika Kokay (PT) at 13-15%, and Bia Kicis (PL) at 11-17%—reflecting her strong name recognition and backing from the PL party apparatus. The second seat remains contested within the margin of error among the top contenders, while lower-polling candidates trail significantly. Earlier internal party tensions in mid-2026 briefly raised questions about her candidacy, but confirmed registration and subsequent polling gains have reinforced her frontrunner status among traders assessing vote concentration and turnout patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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