Eduardo Braga holds a commanding position in Amazonas Senate polling as the incumbent MDB senator seeking reelection, consistently registering 25-36% support for the top spot across recent surveys from institutes such as Quaest, Veritá, and others conducted through August 2026. His broad coalition backing, established name recognition from prior roles as governor and federal minister, and stronger performance in the state's interior regions underpin trader consensus reflected in elevated implied probabilities. Capitão Alberto Neto trails as the main challenger with double-digit support concentrated in Manaus, while Wilson Lima, Plínio Valério, and lower-polling candidates like Dailson Corrêa face steeper barriers from limited momentum and narrower geographic appeal ahead of the October 4 vote. Recent registration of nine candidacies and stable poll trends through late summer have reinforced these dynamics without major shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于爱德华多·布拉加 83%
卡皮唐·阿尔贝托·内托 11.5%
威尔逊·利马 2.5%
普利尼奥·瓦莱里奥 1.8%
$37,564 交易量
$37,564 交易量
2026-10-04
爱德华多·布拉加
83%
卡皮唐·阿尔贝托·内托
12%
威尔逊·利马
3%
普利尼奥·瓦莱里奥
2%
Dailson Corrêa
<1%
埃万德罗·德·奥利维拉
<1%
伊斯梅尔·蒙杜鲁库
<1%
伊万妮教授
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
<1%
爱德华多·布拉加 83%
卡皮唐·阿尔贝托·内托 11.5%
威尔逊·利马 2.5%
普利尼奥·瓦莱里奥 1.8%
$37,564 交易量
$37,564 交易量
2026-10-04
爱德华多·布拉加
$20,019 交易量
83%
卡皮唐·阿尔贝托·内托
$6,663 交易量
12%
威尔逊·利马
$3,513 交易量
3%
普利尼奥·瓦莱里奥
$3,517 交易量
2%
Dailson Corrêa
$600 交易量
<1%
埃万德罗·德·奥利维拉
$563 交易量
<1%
伊斯梅尔·蒙杜鲁库
$915 交易量
<1%
伊万妮教授
$858 交易量
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
$916 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga holds a commanding position in Amazonas Senate polling as the incumbent MDB senator seeking reelection, consistently registering 25-36% support for the top spot across recent surveys from institutes such as Quaest, Veritá, and others conducted through August 2026. His broad coalition backing, established name recognition from prior roles as governor and federal minister, and stronger performance in the state's interior regions underpin trader consensus reflected in elevated implied probabilities. Capitão Alberto Neto trails as the main challenger with double-digit support concentrated in Manaus, while Wilson Lima, Plínio Valério, and lower-polling candidates like Dailson Corrêa face steeper barriers from limited momentum and narrower geographic appeal ahead of the October 4 vote. Recent registration of nine candidacies and stable poll trends through late summer have reinforced these dynamics without major shifts.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET
交易量
$37,564结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga holds a commanding position in Amazonas Senate polling as the incumbent MDB senator seeking reelection, consistently registering 25-36% support for the top spot across recent surveys from institutes such as Quaest, Veritá, and others conducted through August 2026. His broad coalition backing, established name recognition from prior roles as governor and federal minister, and stronger performance in the state's interior regions underpin trader consensus reflected in elevated implied probabilities. Capitão Alberto Neto trails as the main challenger with double-digit support concentrated in Manaus, while Wilson Lima, Plínio Valério, and lower-polling candidates like Dailson Corrêa face steeper barriers from limited momentum and narrower geographic appeal ahead of the October 4 vote. Recent registration of nine candidacies and stable poll trends through late summer have reinforced these dynamics without major shifts.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$37,564结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETEduardo Braga holds a commanding position in Amazonas Senate polling as the incumbent MDB senator seeking reelection, consistently registering 25-36% support for the top spot across recent surveys from institutes such as Quaest, Veritá, and others conducted through August 2026. His broad coalition backing, established name recognition from prior roles as governor and federal minister, and stronger performance in the state's interior regions underpin trader consensus reflected in elevated implied probabilities. Capitão Alberto Neto trails as the main challenger with double-digit support concentrated in Manaus, while Wilson Lima, Plínio Valério, and lower-polling candidates like Dailson Corrêa face steeper barriers from limited momentum and narrower geographic appeal ahead of the October 4 vote. Recent registration of nine candidacies and stable poll trends through late summer have reinforced these dynamics without major shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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