Recent polling for the Ceará Senate race shows a competitive contest for second place, with Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins clustered near the top in most surveys conducted through early September, followed by Cid Gomes and smaller shares for Alcides Fernandes and others. High levels of undecided and blank/null responses, often exceeding 30 percent combined, sustain the tight positioning as voters weigh first and second preferences for the two seats. Recent Datafolha and Quaest releases indicate modest movement within margins of error, while official candidacy filings and campaign starts have not yet produced decisive shifts. The outcome hinges on turnout patterns and any late consolidation among center-right or left-leaning blocs ahead of the October vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卡皮唐·瓦格纳 36%
Luizianne 34%
西德·戈梅斯 20%
阿尔西德斯·费尔南德斯 4.5%
$36,524 交易量
$36,524 交易量
2026-10-04
卡皮唐·瓦格纳
36%
Luizianne
31%
西德·戈梅斯
26%
阿尔西德斯·费尔南德斯
5%
卡塔琳娜·马托斯
<1%
吉列尔梅·特奥菲洛
<1%
Lino Alves
<1%
雷吉纳尔多
<1%
卡皮唐·瓦格纳 36%
Luizianne 34%
西德·戈梅斯 20%
阿尔西德斯·费尔南德斯 4.5%
$36,524 交易量
$36,524 交易量
2026-10-04
卡皮唐·瓦格纳
$14,348 交易量
36%
Luizianne
$11,623 交易量
31%
西德·戈梅斯
$4,910 交易量
26%
阿尔西德斯·费尔南德斯
$1,100 交易量
5%
卡塔琳娜·马托斯
$1,541 交易量
<1%
吉列尔梅·特奥菲洛
$825 交易量
<1%
Lino Alves
$942 交易量
<1%
雷吉纳尔多
$1,234 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for the Ceará Senate race shows a competitive contest for second place, with Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins clustered near the top in most surveys conducted through early September, followed by Cid Gomes and smaller shares for Alcides Fernandes and others. High levels of undecided and blank/null responses, often exceeding 30 percent combined, sustain the tight positioning as voters weigh first and second preferences for the two seats. Recent Datafolha and Quaest releases indicate modest movement within margins of error, while official candidacy filings and campaign starts have not yet produced decisive shifts. The outcome hinges on turnout patterns and any late consolidation among center-right or left-leaning blocs ahead of the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
交易量
$36,524结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for the Ceará Senate race shows a competitive contest for second place, with Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins clustered near the top in most surveys conducted through early September, followed by Cid Gomes and smaller shares for Alcides Fernandes and others. High levels of undecided and blank/null responses, often exceeding 30 percent combined, sustain the tight positioning as voters weigh first and second preferences for the two seats. Recent Datafolha and Quaest releases indicate modest movement within margins of error, while official candidacy filings and campaign starts have not yet produced decisive shifts. The outcome hinges on turnout patterns and any late consolidation among center-right or left-leaning blocs ahead of the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$36,524结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETRecent polling for the Ceará Senate race shows a competitive contest for second place, with Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins clustered near the top in most surveys conducted through early September, followed by Cid Gomes and smaller shares for Alcides Fernandes and others. High levels of undecided and blank/null responses, often exceeding 30 percent combined, sustain the tight positioning as voters weigh first and second preferences for the two seats. Recent Datafolha and Quaest releases indicate modest movement within margins of error, while official candidacy filings and campaign starts have not yet produced decisive shifts. The outcome hinges on turnout patterns and any late consolidation among center-right or left-leaning blocs ahead of the October vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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