Recent polling from Real Time Big Data shows Rui Costa (PT) leading consolidated Senate intentions in Bahia at 26%, with the race for second place tight: Jaques Wagner (PT) at 19%, João Roma (PL) at 17%, and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) at 15%, all within the 2-point margin of error. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns indicate Wagner leading second preferences at 20%, ahead of Coronel at 16%. These figures align with trader consensus favoring Wagner for second place, reflecting PT organizational strength and vote-splitting dynamics ahead of the October 4 election, while lower odds for Roma and Coronel capture the competitive uncertainty among opposition and incumbent challengers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Jaques Wagner 71%
Angelo Coronel 14.2%
Rui Costa 9.6%
João Roma 2.4%
$31,154 交易量
$31,154 交易量
2026-10-04
Jaques Wagner
71%
Angelo Coronel
14%
Rui Costa
10%
João Roma
2%
Carlos Sodré
<1%
Gregorio Gould
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
<1%
Marcelo Millet
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
<1%
Professora Delliana
<1%
Jaques Wagner 71%
Angelo Coronel 14.2%
Rui Costa 9.6%
João Roma 2.4%
$31,154 交易量
$31,154 交易量
2026-10-04
Jaques Wagner
$20,045 交易量
71%
Angelo Coronel
$1,641 交易量
14%
Rui Costa
$4,630 交易量
10%
João Roma
$1,021 交易量
2%
Carlos Sodré
$681 交易量
<1%
Gregorio Gould
$570 交易量
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
$488 交易量
<1%
Marcelo Millet
$673 交易量
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
$654 交易量
<1%
Professora Delliana
$751 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Real Time Big Data shows Rui Costa (PT) leading consolidated Senate intentions in Bahia at 26%, with the race for second place tight: Jaques Wagner (PT) at 19%, João Roma (PL) at 17%, and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) at 15%, all within the 2-point margin of error. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns indicate Wagner leading second preferences at 20%, ahead of Coronel at 16%. These figures align with trader consensus favoring Wagner for second place, reflecting PT organizational strength and vote-splitting dynamics ahead of the October 4 election, while lower odds for Roma and Coronel capture the competitive uncertainty among opposition and incumbent challengers.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
交易量
$31,154结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Real Time Big Data shows Rui Costa (PT) leading consolidated Senate intentions in Bahia at 26%, with the race for second place tight: Jaques Wagner (PT) at 19%, João Roma (PL) at 17%, and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) at 15%, all within the 2-point margin of error. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns indicate Wagner leading second preferences at 20%, ahead of Coronel at 16%. These figures align with trader consensus favoring Wagner for second place, reflecting PT organizational strength and vote-splitting dynamics ahead of the October 4 election, while lower odds for Roma and Coronel capture the competitive uncertainty among opposition and incumbent challengers.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$31,154结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETRecent polling from Real Time Big Data shows Rui Costa (PT) leading consolidated Senate intentions in Bahia at 26%, with the race for second place tight: Jaques Wagner (PT) at 19%, João Roma (PL) at 17%, and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) at 15%, all within the 2-point margin of error. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns indicate Wagner leading second preferences at 20%, ahead of Coronel at 16%. These figures align with trader consensus favoring Wagner for second place, reflecting PT organizational strength and vote-splitting dynamics ahead of the October 4 election, while lower odds for Roma and Coronel capture the competitive uncertainty among opposition and incumbent challengers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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