Recent polling from Datafolha and Quaest in early September shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading overall intentions for the two Senate seats, followed closely by incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) of the Frente Popular coalition, with Mendonça Filho (PL) and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) trailing in the competitive pack. High numbers of undecided voters and blank/null ballots keep the ordering fluid for second place, while alliances, party structures, and regional campaign reach shape voter consolidation ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Trader pricing reflects this narrow gap and the potential for late shifts in turnout or preference among the top contenders to determine the final ranking.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于洪贝托·科斯塔 42%
Mendonça Filho 27%
马丽利娅·阿拉埃斯 20.7%
图利奥·加德利亚 9.5%
$32,233 交易量
$32,233 交易量
2026-10-04
洪贝托·科斯塔
42%
Mendonça Filho
27%
马丽利娅·阿拉埃斯
21%
图利奥·加德利亚
10%
爱德华多·达丰特
6%
马里亚诺·马塞多
<1%
萨缪尔·蒂莫泰奥
<1%
吉尔万·科斯塔牧师
<1%
卡洛斯·桑塔安娜
<1%
戈雷特·比图
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
<1%
保罗·鲁本·圣地亚哥
<1%
洪贝托·科斯塔 42%
Mendonça Filho 27%
马丽利娅·阿拉埃斯 20.7%
图利奥·加德利亚 9.5%
$32,233 交易量
$32,233 交易量
2026-10-04
洪贝托·科斯塔
$10,112 交易量
42%
Mendonça Filho
$8,863 交易量
27%
马丽利娅·阿拉埃斯
$5,666 交易量
21%
图利奥·加德利亚
$1,435 交易量
10%
爱德华多·达丰特
$1,694 交易量
6%
马里亚诺·马塞多
$806 交易量
<1%
萨缪尔·蒂莫泰奥
$834 交易量
<1%
吉尔万·科斯塔牧师
$778 交易量
<1%
卡洛斯·桑塔安娜
$494 交易量
<1%
戈雷特·比图
$629 交易量
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$433 交易量
<1%
保罗·鲁本·圣地亚哥
$490 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha and Quaest in early September shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading overall intentions for the two Senate seats, followed closely by incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) of the Frente Popular coalition, with Mendonça Filho (PL) and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) trailing in the competitive pack. High numbers of undecided voters and blank/null ballots keep the ordering fluid for second place, while alliances, party structures, and regional campaign reach shape voter consolidation ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Trader pricing reflects this narrow gap and the potential for late shifts in turnout or preference among the top contenders to determine the final ranking.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
交易量
$32,233结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha and Quaest in early September shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading overall intentions for the two Senate seats, followed closely by incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) of the Frente Popular coalition, with Mendonça Filho (PL) and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) trailing in the competitive pack. High numbers of undecided voters and blank/null ballots keep the ordering fluid for second place, while alliances, party structures, and regional campaign reach shape voter consolidation ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Trader pricing reflects this narrow gap and the potential for late shifts in turnout or preference among the top contenders to determine the final ranking.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$32,233结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETRecent polling from Datafolha and Quaest in early September shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading overall intentions for the two Senate seats, followed closely by incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) of the Frente Popular coalition, with Mendonça Filho (PL) and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) trailing in the competitive pack. High numbers of undecided voters and blank/null ballots keep the ordering fluid for second place, while alliances, party structures, and regional campaign reach shape voter consolidation ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Trader pricing reflects this narrow gap and the potential for late shifts in turnout or preference among the top contenders to determine the final ranking.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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