Arizona's 2026 gubernatorial race between incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs and Republican nominee Andy Biggs features a closely contested matchup in a state with roughly 4.3 million registered voters. Recent July primary turnout fell to just 27%, the lowest in nearly two decades, reflecting subdued enthusiasm ahead of the November 3 general election and potentially carrying over to moderate overall participation. Historical midterm patterns, including 2022's roughly 2.59 million ballots cast, combined with early voting logistics and negative campaigning trends, support trader focus on the 2.45–2.75 million range. A polarized electorate and battleground dynamics could increase mobilization, while structural factors like the shifted primary calendar and independent voter behavior introduce uncertainty that keeps leading probabilities tightly clustered.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于260万-275万 40%
245万-260万 28%
275万-290万 19%
305万-320万 12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于200万
6%
200万-215万
1%
215万-230万
4%
230万-245万
2%
245万-260万
28%
260万-275万
40%
275万-290万
19%
290万-305万
7%
305万-320万
12%
320万以上
5%
260万-275万 40%
245万-260万 28%
275万-290万 19%
305万-320万 12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于200万
$83 交易量
6%
200万-215万
$1,349 交易量
1%
215万-230万
$83 交易量
4%
230万-245万
$66 交易量
2%
245万-260万
$2,108 交易量
28%
260万-275万
$731 交易量
40%
275万-290万
$2,083 交易量
19%
290万-305万
$141 交易量
7%
305万-320万
$128 交易量
12%
320万以上
$124 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Arizona's 2026 gubernatorial race between incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs and Republican nominee Andy Biggs features a closely contested matchup in a state with roughly 4.3 million registered voters. Recent July primary turnout fell to just 27%, the lowest in nearly two decades, reflecting subdued enthusiasm ahead of the November 3 general election and potentially carrying over to moderate overall participation. Historical midterm patterns, including 2022's roughly 2.59 million ballots cast, combined with early voting logistics and negative campaigning trends, support trader focus on the 2.45–2.75 million range. A polarized electorate and battleground dynamics could increase mobilization, while structural factors like the shifted primary calendar and independent voter behavior introduce uncertainty that keeps leading probabilities tightly clustered.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 10:08 AM ET
交易量
$6,897结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:08 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Arizona's 2026 gubernatorial race between incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs and Republican nominee Andy Biggs features a closely contested matchup in a state with roughly 4.3 million registered voters. Recent July primary turnout fell to just 27%, the lowest in nearly two decades, reflecting subdued enthusiasm ahead of the November 3 general election and potentially carrying over to moderate overall participation. Historical midterm patterns, including 2022's roughly 2.59 million ballots cast, combined with early voting logistics and negative campaigning trends, support trader focus on the 2.45–2.75 million range. A polarized electorate and battleground dynamics could increase mobilization, while structural factors like the shifted primary calendar and independent voter behavior introduce uncertainty that keeps leading probabilities tightly clustered.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,897结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:08 AM ETArizona's 2026 gubernatorial race between incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs and Republican nominee Andy Biggs features a closely contested matchup in a state with roughly 4.3 million registered voters. Recent July primary turnout fell to just 27%, the lowest in nearly two decades, reflecting subdued enthusiasm ahead of the November 3 general election and potentially carrying over to moderate overall participation. Historical midterm patterns, including 2022's roughly 2.59 million ballots cast, combined with early voting logistics and negative campaigning trends, support trader focus on the 2.45–2.75 million range. A polarized electorate and battleground dynamics could increase mobilization, while structural factors like the shifted primary calendar and independent voter behavior introduce uncertainty that keeps leading probabilities tightly clustered.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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