The tight race between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic challenger Aaron Ford, reflected in recent polling averages showing margins of 1–4 points, drives trader expectations toward moderate turnout in the 1.05M–1.2M vote range. A competitive contest in a state with roughly 1.7 million registered voters typically lifts participation above low-engagement midterms, while the lack of a presidential race on the November 3 ballot caps upside relative to 2024 levels. Campaign emphasis on economic pressures, tariffs, and public safety has sustained interest without triggering unusual mobilization, and historical patterns from 2022 (45.8% eligible turnout) support the current pricing. Early voting data and registration trends will remain key variables through Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于112.5万-120万 46%
105万-112.5万 35%
120万-127.5万 10.1%
90万-97.5万 9%
$11,687 交易量
$11,687 交易量
2026-11-03
少于90万
4%
90万-97.5万
9%
97.5万-105万
7%
105万-112.5万
35%
112.5万-120万
46%
120万-127.5万
10%
1,275,000-1,350,000
<1%
135万以上
<1%
112.5万-120万 46%
105万-112.5万 35%
120万-127.5万 10.1%
90万-97.5万 9%
$11,687 交易量
$11,687 交易量
2026-11-03
少于90万
$2,757 交易量
4%
90万-97.5万
$1,309 交易量
9%
97.5万-105万
$1,032 交易量
7%
105万-112.5万
$2,116 交易量
35%
112.5万-120万
$2,373 交易量
46%
120万-127.5万
$1,008 交易量
10%
1,275,000-1,350,000
$410 交易量
<1%
135万以上
$683 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight race between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic challenger Aaron Ford, reflected in recent polling averages showing margins of 1–4 points, drives trader expectations toward moderate turnout in the 1.05M–1.2M vote range. A competitive contest in a state with roughly 1.7 million registered voters typically lifts participation above low-engagement midterms, while the lack of a presidential race on the November 3 ballot caps upside relative to 2024 levels. Campaign emphasis on economic pressures, tariffs, and public safety has sustained interest without triggering unusual mobilization, and historical patterns from 2022 (45.8% eligible turnout) support the current pricing. Early voting data and registration trends will remain key variables through Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
交易量
$11,687结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight race between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic challenger Aaron Ford, reflected in recent polling averages showing margins of 1–4 points, drives trader expectations toward moderate turnout in the 1.05M–1.2M vote range. A competitive contest in a state with roughly 1.7 million registered voters typically lifts participation above low-engagement midterms, while the lack of a presidential race on the November 3 ballot caps upside relative to 2024 levels. Campaign emphasis on economic pressures, tariffs, and public safety has sustained interest without triggering unusual mobilization, and historical patterns from 2022 (45.8% eligible turnout) support the current pricing. Early voting data and registration trends will remain key variables through Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$11,687结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ETThe tight race between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic challenger Aaron Ford, reflected in recent polling averages showing margins of 1–4 points, drives trader expectations toward moderate turnout in the 1.05M–1.2M vote range. A competitive contest in a state with roughly 1.7 million registered voters typically lifts participation above low-engagement midterms, while the lack of a presidential race on the November 3 ballot caps upside relative to 2024 levels. Campaign emphasis on economic pressures, tariffs, and public safety has sustained interest without triggering unusual mobilization, and historical patterns from 2022 (45.8% eligible turnout) support the current pricing. Early voting data and registration trends will remain key variables through Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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