Florida's 2026 U.S. Senate special election between Republican incumbent Ashley Moody and Democrat Angie Nixon features a polling lead for Moody amid the state's established Republican registration edge. Trader pricing clusters in the 7.75M–8.5M range because midterm special-election turnout typically falls below presidential levels, as seen in prior cycles, while remaining sensitive to early and mail ballot volume plus no-party-affiliation participation. Post-August primaries, campaign activity centers on get-out-the-vote operations and independent mobilization, with separation likely driven by shifts in enthusiasm gaps or last-minute registration trends ahead of November 3. Historical patterns and current polling averages support this moderate range without strong signals for significantly higher or lower totals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于800万-825万 28%
825万-850万 24%
750万-775万 22.8%
775万-800万 15.6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于700万
1%
700万-725万
<1%
725万-750万
6%
750万-775万
23%
775万-800万
16%
800万-825万
28%
825万-850万
24%
850万-875万
3%
875万-900万
4%
9百万以上
13%
800万-825万 28%
825万-850万 24%
750万-775万 22.8%
775万-800万 15.6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于700万
$133 交易量
1%
700万-725万
$585 交易量
<1%
725万-750万
$1,662 交易量
6%
750万-775万
$698 交易量
23%
775万-800万
$248 交易量
16%
800万-825万
$1,315 交易量
28%
825万-850万
$192 交易量
24%
850万-875万
$1,233 交易量
3%
875万-900万
$161 交易量
4%
9百万以上
$93 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Florida's 2026 U.S. Senate special election between Republican incumbent Ashley Moody and Democrat Angie Nixon features a polling lead for Moody amid the state's established Republican registration edge. Trader pricing clusters in the 7.75M–8.5M range because midterm special-election turnout typically falls below presidential levels, as seen in prior cycles, while remaining sensitive to early and mail ballot volume plus no-party-affiliation participation. Post-August primaries, campaign activity centers on get-out-the-vote operations and independent mobilization, with separation likely driven by shifts in enthusiasm gaps or last-minute registration trends ahead of November 3. Historical patterns and current polling averages support this moderate range without strong signals for significantly higher or lower totals.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
交易量
$6,320结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:06 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Florida's 2026 U.S. Senate special election between Republican incumbent Ashley Moody and Democrat Angie Nixon features a polling lead for Moody amid the state's established Republican registration edge. Trader pricing clusters in the 7.75M–8.5M range because midterm special-election turnout typically falls below presidential levels, as seen in prior cycles, while remaining sensitive to early and mail ballot volume plus no-party-affiliation participation. Post-August primaries, campaign activity centers on get-out-the-vote operations and independent mobilization, with separation likely driven by shifts in enthusiasm gaps or last-minute registration trends ahead of November 3. Historical patterns and current polling averages support this moderate range without strong signals for significantly higher or lower totals.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,320结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:06 AM ETFlorida's 2026 U.S. Senate special election between Republican incumbent Ashley Moody and Democrat Angie Nixon features a polling lead for Moody amid the state's established Republican registration edge. Trader pricing clusters in the 7.75M–8.5M range because midterm special-election turnout typically falls below presidential levels, as seen in prior cycles, while remaining sensitive to early and mail ballot volume plus no-party-affiliation participation. Post-August primaries, campaign activity centers on get-out-the-vote operations and independent mobilization, with separation likely driven by shifts in enthusiasm gaps or last-minute registration trends ahead of November 3. Historical patterns and current polling averages support this moderate range without strong signals for significantly higher or lower totals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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