Montana’s open U.S. Senate race features Republican Kurt Alme holding a consistent double-digit lead in recent polling amid a split opposition field of Democrat Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar. This dynamic has reduced the contest’s competitiveness, limiting the mobilization of swing and low-propensity voters that typically boosts general-election participation. Primary turnout reached 37.9 percent of registered voters, above historical averages, yet the Solid Republican rating and absence of high-profile national stakes point to more moderate general-election engagement on November 3. Traders have therefore clustered probabilities on the 500K–550K range, consistent with Montana’s midterm participation patterns in less contested statewide contests.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于50万-55万 37%
450K-500K 15.0%
少于35万 15%
40万-45万 12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于35万
9%
35万-40万
8%
40万-45万
12%
450K-500K
15%
50万-55万
37%
550K-600K
2%
60万+
1%
50万-55万 37%
450K-500K 15.0%
少于35万 15%
40万-45万 12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于35万
$91 交易量
9%
35万-40万
$183 交易量
8%
40万-45万
$143 交易量
12%
450K-500K
$220 交易量
15%
50万-55万
$755 交易量
37%
550K-600K
$1,092 交易量
2%
60万+
$225 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Montana’s open U.S. Senate race features Republican Kurt Alme holding a consistent double-digit lead in recent polling amid a split opposition field of Democrat Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar. This dynamic has reduced the contest’s competitiveness, limiting the mobilization of swing and low-propensity voters that typically boosts general-election participation. Primary turnout reached 37.9 percent of registered voters, above historical averages, yet the Solid Republican rating and absence of high-profile national stakes point to more moderate general-election engagement on November 3. Traders have therefore clustered probabilities on the 500K–550K range, consistent with Montana’s midterm participation patterns in less contested statewide contests.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
交易量
$2,709结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Montana’s open U.S. Senate race features Republican Kurt Alme holding a consistent double-digit lead in recent polling amid a split opposition field of Democrat Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar. This dynamic has reduced the contest’s competitiveness, limiting the mobilization of swing and low-propensity voters that typically boosts general-election participation. Primary turnout reached 37.9 percent of registered voters, above historical averages, yet the Solid Republican rating and absence of high-profile national stakes point to more moderate general-election engagement on November 3. Traders have therefore clustered probabilities on the 500K–550K range, consistent with Montana’s midterm participation patterns in less contested statewide contests.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,709结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ETMontana’s open U.S. Senate race features Republican Kurt Alme holding a consistent double-digit lead in recent polling amid a split opposition field of Democrat Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar. This dynamic has reduced the contest’s competitiveness, limiting the mobilization of swing and low-propensity voters that typically boosts general-election participation. Primary turnout reached 37.9 percent of registered voters, above historical averages, yet the Solid Republican rating and absence of high-profile national stakes point to more moderate general-election engagement on November 3. Traders have therefore clustered probabilities on the 500K–550K range, consistent with Montana’s midterm participation patterns in less contested statewide contests.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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