Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate contest features Republican Kevin Hern against Democrat N'Kiyla Thomas in a solidly Republican open seat, with forecasts projecting a wide margin. This dynamic, combined with the state's history of below-national-average participation in non-presidential elections, anchors trader expectations for total ballots near 1.1–1.3 million. Recent June primaries drew only about 26% of registered voters statewide, illustrating persistent challenges with engagement. Low Democratic primary volume and limited national attention further constrain upside potential, while standard factors such as early and absentee voting access plus voter ID requirements introduce modest variability. The narrow spread between the leading turnout bins reflects uncertainty over whether base mobilization or broader apathy will prevail by November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于120万-130万 47%
110万-120万 41%
100万-110万 11.3%
140万+ 5.8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
小于90万
<1%
90万-100万
4%
100万-110万
11%
110万-120万
41%
120万-130万
47%
130万-140万
3%
140万+
6%
120万-130万 47%
110万-120万 41%
100万-110万 11.3%
140万+ 5.8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
小于90万
$341 交易量
<1%
90万-100万
$354 交易量
4%
100万-110万
$244 交易量
11%
110万-120万
$1,349 交易量
41%
120万-130万
$655 交易量
47%
130万-140万
$2,014 交易量
3%
140万+
$719 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate contest features Republican Kevin Hern against Democrat N'Kiyla Thomas in a solidly Republican open seat, with forecasts projecting a wide margin. This dynamic, combined with the state's history of below-national-average participation in non-presidential elections, anchors trader expectations for total ballots near 1.1–1.3 million. Recent June primaries drew only about 26% of registered voters statewide, illustrating persistent challenges with engagement. Low Democratic primary volume and limited national attention further constrain upside potential, while standard factors such as early and absentee voting access plus voter ID requirements introduce modest variability. The narrow spread between the leading turnout bins reflects uncertainty over whether base mobilization or broader apathy will prevail by November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
交易量
$5,675结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate contest features Republican Kevin Hern against Democrat N'Kiyla Thomas in a solidly Republican open seat, with forecasts projecting a wide margin. This dynamic, combined with the state's history of below-national-average participation in non-presidential elections, anchors trader expectations for total ballots near 1.1–1.3 million. Recent June primaries drew only about 26% of registered voters statewide, illustrating persistent challenges with engagement. Low Democratic primary volume and limited national attention further constrain upside potential, while standard factors such as early and absentee voting access plus voter ID requirements introduce modest variability. The narrow spread between the leading turnout bins reflects uncertainty over whether base mobilization or broader apathy will prevail by November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5,675结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETOklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate contest features Republican Kevin Hern against Democrat N'Kiyla Thomas in a solidly Republican open seat, with forecasts projecting a wide margin. This dynamic, combined with the state's history of below-national-average participation in non-presidential elections, anchors trader expectations for total ballots near 1.1–1.3 million. Recent June primaries drew only about 26% of registered voters statewide, illustrating persistent challenges with engagement. Low Democratic primary volume and limited national attention further constrain upside potential, while standard factors such as early and absentee voting access plus voter ID requirements introduce modest variability. The narrow spread between the leading turnout bins reflects uncertainty over whether base mobilization or broader apathy will prevail by November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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