The closely matched probabilities across mid-range turnout bins reflect expectations of moderate participation in a low-competition general election featuring heavily favored Democratic incumbent Ed Markey against Republican John Deaton. Markey’s decisive primary win over Seth Moulton on September 1 generated limited enthusiasm, as Massachusetts Secretary of State William Galvin anticipated, while the unopposed Republican primary produced no additional mobilization. Typical midterm drop-off in a solidly Democratic state, alongside monitoring of early voting volumes starting in mid-October and mail ballot return rates, continues to anchor trader consensus near historical non-presidential levels without major catalysts to separate the leading ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于280万-295万 38%
265万-280万 32%
250万-265万 18%
295万-310万 18%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于220万
1%
220万-235万
8%
235万-250万
8%
250万-265万
11%
265万-280万
32%
280万-295万
38%
295万-310万
18%
310万+
10%
280万-295万 38%
265万-280万 32%
250万-265万 18%
295万-310万 18%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于220万
$71 交易量
1%
220万-235万
$88 交易量
8%
235万-250万
$71 交易量
8%
250万-265万
$108 交易量
11%
265万-280万
$745 交易量
32%
280万-295万
$714 交易量
38%
295万-310万
$80 交易量
18%
310万+
$96 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across mid-range turnout bins reflect expectations of moderate participation in a low-competition general election featuring heavily favored Democratic incumbent Ed Markey against Republican John Deaton. Markey’s decisive primary win over Seth Moulton on September 1 generated limited enthusiasm, as Massachusetts Secretary of State William Galvin anticipated, while the unopposed Republican primary produced no additional mobilization. Typical midterm drop-off in a solidly Democratic state, alongside monitoring of early voting volumes starting in mid-October and mail ballot return rates, continues to anchor trader consensus near historical non-presidential levels without major catalysts to separate the leading ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ET
交易量
$1,974结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across mid-range turnout bins reflect expectations of moderate participation in a low-competition general election featuring heavily favored Democratic incumbent Ed Markey against Republican John Deaton. Markey’s decisive primary win over Seth Moulton on September 1 generated limited enthusiasm, as Massachusetts Secretary of State William Galvin anticipated, while the unopposed Republican primary produced no additional mobilization. Typical midterm drop-off in a solidly Democratic state, alongside monitoring of early voting volumes starting in mid-October and mail ballot return rates, continues to anchor trader consensus near historical non-presidential levels without major catalysts to separate the leading ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,974结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ETThe closely matched probabilities across mid-range turnout bins reflect expectations of moderate participation in a low-competition general election featuring heavily favored Democratic incumbent Ed Markey against Republican John Deaton. Markey’s decisive primary win over Seth Moulton on September 1 generated limited enthusiasm, as Massachusetts Secretary of State William Galvin anticipated, while the unopposed Republican primary produced no additional mobilization. Typical midterm drop-off in a solidly Democratic state, alongside monitoring of early voting volumes starting in mid-October and mail ballot return rates, continues to anchor trader consensus near historical non-presidential levels without major catalysts to separate the leading ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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