Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds the clearest lead in recent polling for one of Amapá’s two Senate seats in the October 2026 election, with a September Real Time Big Data survey placing her at 33% in consolidated first- and second-choice intentions, well ahead of incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 20% and Lucas Barreto (PSD) at 14%. Her position reflects strong name recognition tied to her husband’s dominant gubernatorial campaign and consistent advantages across voter segments in earlier surveys. The remaining candidates, including Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho, register single-digit support, while several others remain below 1%. Traders appear to price the race around Furlan’s sustained polling edge and limited time for challengers to close the gap before voting begins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Rayssa Furlan 81%
兰多菲 6.1%
卢卡斯·巴雷托 4.0%
Alliny Serrão <1%
$33,027 交易量
$33,027 交易量
2026-10-04
Rayssa Furlan
81%
兰多菲
6%
卢卡斯·巴雷托
4%
Alliny Serrão
1%
阿卡西奥·法瓦乔
<1%
赫利奥·席尔瓦
<1%
法官Jô
<1%
乌兹安·平托教授
<1%
卡皮
<1%
Rayssa Furlan 81%
兰多菲 6.1%
卢卡斯·巴雷托 4.0%
Alliny Serrão <1%
$33,027 交易量
$33,027 交易量
2026-10-04
Rayssa Furlan
$24,894 交易量
81%
兰多菲
$1,437 交易量
6%
卢卡斯·巴雷托
$1,386 交易量
4%
Alliny Serrão
$1,207 交易量
1%
阿卡西奥·法瓦乔
$879 交易量
<1%
赫利奥·席尔瓦
$573 交易量
<1%
法官Jô
$952 交易量
<1%
乌兹安·平托教授
$947 交易量
<1%
卡皮
$751 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds the clearest lead in recent polling for one of Amapá’s two Senate seats in the October 2026 election, with a September Real Time Big Data survey placing her at 33% in consolidated first- and second-choice intentions, well ahead of incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 20% and Lucas Barreto (PSD) at 14%. Her position reflects strong name recognition tied to her husband’s dominant gubernatorial campaign and consistent advantages across voter segments in earlier surveys. The remaining candidates, including Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho, register single-digit support, while several others remain below 1%. Traders appear to price the race around Furlan’s sustained polling edge and limited time for challengers to close the gap before voting begins.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
交易量
$33,027结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds the clearest lead in recent polling for one of Amapá’s two Senate seats in the October 2026 election, with a September Real Time Big Data survey placing her at 33% in consolidated first- and second-choice intentions, well ahead of incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 20% and Lucas Barreto (PSD) at 14%. Her position reflects strong name recognition tied to her husband’s dominant gubernatorial campaign and consistent advantages across voter segments in earlier surveys. The remaining candidates, including Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho, register single-digit support, while several others remain below 1%. Traders appear to price the race around Furlan’s sustained polling edge and limited time for challengers to close the gap before voting begins.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$33,027结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETRayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds the clearest lead in recent polling for one of Amapá’s two Senate seats in the October 2026 election, with a September Real Time Big Data survey placing her at 33% in consolidated first- and second-choice intentions, well ahead of incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 20% and Lucas Barreto (PSD) at 14%. Her position reflects strong name recognition tied to her husband’s dominant gubernatorial campaign and consistent advantages across voter segments in earlier surveys. The remaining candidates, including Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho, register single-digit support, while several others remain below 1%. Traders appear to price the race around Furlan’s sustained polling edge and limited time for challengers to close the gap before voting begins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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