Recent polling in Amapá’s October 4 Senate race shows Rayssa Furlan (PODE) consistently leading for one seat, leaving the second position contested primarily between incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD). Multiple surveys from August and early September place the two within or near the margin of error, with Randolfe often edging Barreto in combined first- and second-vote intentions while Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho trail further back. Trader pricing reflects this narrow contest, with Randolfe holding the highest implied probability for second place. Key near-term catalysts include the September 25 debate and final weeks of campaigning, which could shift undecided voters or consolidate support behind the two re-election bids in a state where each elector selects two candidates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于兰多尔夫 46%
卢卡斯·巴雷托 40%
Alliny Serrão 7%
Capi 4.0%
$16,488 交易量
$16,488 交易量
2026-10-04
兰多尔夫
46%
卢卡斯·巴雷托
36%
Alliny Serrão
7%
Capi
4%
乌兹安·平托教授
3%
阿卡西奥·法瓦乔
3%
法官Jô
3%
雷萨·弗尔兰
1%
赫利奥·席尔瓦
1%
兰多尔夫 46%
卢卡斯·巴雷托 40%
Alliny Serrão 7%
Capi 4.0%
$16,488 交易量
$16,488 交易量
2026-10-04
兰多尔夫
$8,911 交易量
46%
卢卡斯·巴雷托
$3,421 交易量
36%
Alliny Serrão
$645 交易量
7%
Capi
$237 交易量
4%
乌兹安·平托教授
$511 交易量
3%
阿卡西奥·法瓦乔
$482 交易量
3%
法官Jô
$184 交易量
3%
雷萨·弗尔兰
$282 交易量
1%
赫利奥·席尔瓦
$1,816 交易量
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Amapá’s October 4 Senate race shows Rayssa Furlan (PODE) consistently leading for one seat, leaving the second position contested primarily between incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD). Multiple surveys from August and early September place the two within or near the margin of error, with Randolfe often edging Barreto in combined first- and second-vote intentions while Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho trail further back. Trader pricing reflects this narrow contest, with Randolfe holding the highest implied probability for second place. Key near-term catalysts include the September 25 debate and final weeks of campaigning, which could shift undecided voters or consolidate support behind the two re-election bids in a state where each elector selects two candidates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
交易量
$16,488结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Amapá’s October 4 Senate race shows Rayssa Furlan (PODE) consistently leading for one seat, leaving the second position contested primarily between incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD). Multiple surveys from August and early September place the two within or near the margin of error, with Randolfe often edging Barreto in combined first- and second-vote intentions while Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho trail further back. Trader pricing reflects this narrow contest, with Randolfe holding the highest implied probability for second place. Key near-term catalysts include the September 25 debate and final weeks of campaigning, which could shift undecided voters or consolidate support behind the two re-election bids in a state where each elector selects two candidates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$16,488结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETRecent polling in Amapá’s October 4 Senate race shows Rayssa Furlan (PODE) consistently leading for one seat, leaving the second position contested primarily between incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD). Multiple surveys from August and early September place the two within or near the margin of error, with Randolfe often edging Barreto in combined first- and second-vote intentions while Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho trail further back. Trader pricing reflects this narrow contest, with Randolfe holding the highest implied probability for second place. Key near-term catalysts include the September 25 debate and final weeks of campaigning, which could shift undecided voters or consolidate support behind the two re-election bids in a state where each elector selects two candidates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题