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icon for 帕拉州参议院选举:第一名

帕拉州参议院选举:第一名

icon for 帕拉州参议院选举:第一名

帕拉州参议院选举:第一名

埃尔德 81%

代表埃德尔·毛罗 7.5%

泽基尼亚·马里尼奥 5.1%

埃德莱妮·罗德里格斯 1.8%

Polymarket

$17,107 交易量

埃尔德 81%

代表埃德尔·毛罗 7.5%

泽基尼亚·马里尼奥 5.1%

埃德莱妮·罗德里格斯 1.8%

Polymarket

$17,107 交易量

icon for 埃尔德

埃尔德

$11,514 交易量

81%

icon for 代表埃德尔·毛罗

代表埃德尔·毛罗

$635 交易量

8%

icon for 泽基尼亚·马里尼奥

泽基尼亚·马里尼奥

$569 交易量

5%

icon for 埃德莱妮·罗德里格斯

埃德莱妮·罗德里格斯

$600 交易量

2%

icon for Breno Guimarães

Breno Guimarães

$529 交易量

1%

icon for 费尔南达·洛佩斯

费尔南达·洛佩斯

$726 交易量

1%

icon for 塞尔索·萨比诺

塞尔索·萨比诺

$499 交易量

1%

icon for Conti

Conti

$551 交易量

<1%

icon for Chicão

Chicão

$488 交易量

<1%

icon for 吉泽尔·弗雷塔斯

吉泽尔·弗雷塔斯

$562 交易量

<1%

icon for 威廉·达席尔瓦

威廉·达席尔瓦

$436 交易量

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Helder Barbalho (MDB), the term-limited former governor of Pará, holds a commanding position in the race for first place in the October 4, 2026, Senate election, backed by a broad coalition and consistently strong polling leads.** Recent surveys, including a Real Time Big Data poll from early September showing him at 36% in consolidated votes and earlier Quaest data with him at 23-38% for the top spot, underscore his advantage in name recognition and organizational support ahead of rivals. Incumbent Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) and federal deputy Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) trail significantly in first-place projections, while the second Senate seat remains more contested among several candidates. The single-round vote for two seats and Helder’s established statewide profile have shaped trader assessments of the outcome.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$17,107
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Helder Barbalho (MDB), the term-limited former governor of Pará, holds a commanding position in the race for first place in the October 4, 2026, Senate election, backed by a broad coalition and consistently strong polling leads.** Recent surveys, including a Real Time Big Data poll from early September showing him at 36% in consolidated votes and earlier Quaest data with him at 23-38% for the top spot, underscore his advantage in name recognition and organizational support ahead of rivals. Incumbent Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) and federal deputy Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) trail significantly in first-place projections, while the second Senate seat remains more contested among several candidates. The single-round vote for two seats and Helder’s established statewide profile have shaped trader assessments of the outcome.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$17,107
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET

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常见问题

"帕拉州参议院选举:第一名"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"埃尔德",概率为 81%,其次是"代表埃德尔·毛罗",概率为 8%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 81¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 81%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"帕拉州参议院选举:第一名"已产生 $17.1K 的总交易量(自Aug 17, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"帕拉州参议院选举:第一名"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"帕拉州参议院选举:第一名"的当前领先者是"埃尔德",概率为 81%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 81%。紧随其后的结果是"代表埃德尔·毛罗",概率为 8%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"帕拉州参议院选举:第一名"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。