Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C in Lucknow on September 11, aligning with trader consensus at 51% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity near 80-90%, and partly cloudy skies with thundershower chances are limiting nocturnal cooling by trapping heat and reducing radiative losses. This setup matches September climatology where average lows hover around 24-26°C, with current conditions preventing sharper drops seen in drier periods. Updated observations through the day, including airport readings near 26.4°C overnight, reinforce the narrow range around 26°C ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日勒克瑙的最低溫度?
26°C 99%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
$823 交易量
$823 交易量
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或更高
否
26°C 99%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
$823 交易量
$823 交易量
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C in Lucknow on September 11, aligning with trader consensus at 51% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity near 80-90%, and partly cloudy skies with thundershower chances are limiting nocturnal cooling by trapping heat and reducing radiative losses. This setup matches September climatology where average lows hover around 24-26°C, with current conditions preventing sharper drops seen in drier periods. Updated observations through the day, including airport readings near 26.4°C overnight, reinforce the narrow range around 26°C ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions