Official National Weather Service observations confirm a maximum temperature of 74°F at Denver on September 20, 2026, recorded at 3:08 PM MDT under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and no precipitation. This reading, 4°F below the 1991–2020 normal of 78°F, aligns precisely with the market’s dominant 74–75°F outcome at 99.7% implied probability. Forecasters and traders incorporated real-time surface data, model consensus showing limited diurnal heating, and climatological context of cooling September trends. While minor station-to-station variability or rounding differences could theoretically arise, the authoritative NWS report and absence of conflicting observations leave little realistic scope for alternative resolutions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日丹佛的最高溫度?
74-75°F 100.0%
華氏59度或以下 <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$46,848 交易量
$46,848 交易量
華氏59度或以下
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69華氏度
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
<1%
華氏78度或更高
<1%
74-75°F 100.0%
華氏59度或以下 <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$46,848 交易量
$46,848 交易量
華氏59度或以下
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69華氏度
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
<1%
華氏78度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 18, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service observations confirm a maximum temperature of 74°F at Denver on September 20, 2026, recorded at 3:08 PM MDT under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and no precipitation. This reading, 4°F below the 1991–2020 normal of 78°F, aligns precisely with the market’s dominant 74–75°F outcome at 99.7% implied probability. Forecasters and traders incorporated real-time surface data, model consensus showing limited diurnal heating, and climatological context of cooling September trends. While minor station-to-station variability or rounding differences could theoretically arise, the authoritative NWS report and absence of conflicting observations leave little realistic scope for alternative resolutions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions