**Trader consensus on the 25°C outcome at 100% implied probability reflects confirmed observational data from official Buenos Aires weather stations showing a daily maximum of exactly 25°C (77°F) on September 20, 2026.** Surface reports, including from Ministro Pistarini International Airport, recorded afternoon peaks reaching this threshold amid a day of rain, high humidity, and variable winds, with temperatures ranging roughly 14–25°C. This aligned with model consensus from GFS and other guidance that captured a modest warm anomaly relative to September climatological highs near 17–19°C. The market-implied odds treat the official resolution criteria—precise station maximum—as settled by verified measurements rather than forecasts. Unlikely challenges include post-event data revisions or station-specific discrepancies that shift the recorded high to 24°C or 26°C, though multiple independent reports converge on the 25°C peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
9月20日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
25°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$42,271 交易量
$42,271 交易量
2026-09-20
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或以上
否
25°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$42,271 交易量
$42,271 交易量
2026-09-20
18°C或以下
$7,407 交易量
否
19°C
$16 交易量
否
20°C
$266 交易量
否
21°C
$343 交易量
否
22°C
$1,381 交易量
否
23°C
$4,300 交易量
否
24°C
$4,525 交易量
否
25°C
$5,824 交易量
是
26°C
$5,516 交易量
否
27°C
$6,696 交易量
否
28°C或以上
$5,997 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the 25°C outcome at 100% implied probability reflects confirmed observational data from official Buenos Aires weather stations showing a daily maximum of exactly 25°C (77°F) on September 20, 2026.**
Surface reports, including from Ministro Pistarini International Airport, recorded afternoon peaks reaching this threshold amid a day of rain, high humidity, and variable winds, with temperatures ranging roughly 14–25°C. This aligned with model consensus from GFS and other guidance that captured a modest warm anomaly relative to September climatological highs near 17–19°C. The market-implied odds treat the official resolution criteria—precise station maximum—as settled by verified measurements rather than forecasts.
Unlikely challenges include post-event data revisions or station-specific discrepancies that shift the recorded high to 24°C or 26°C, though multiple independent reports converge on the 25°C peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$42,271結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the 25°C outcome at 100% implied probability reflects confirmed observational data from official Buenos Aires weather stations showing a daily maximum of exactly 25°C (77°F) on September 20, 2026.**
Surface reports, including from Ministro Pistarini International Airport, recorded afternoon peaks reaching this threshold amid a day of rain, high humidity, and variable winds, with temperatures ranging roughly 14–25°C. This aligned with model consensus from GFS and other guidance that captured a modest warm anomaly relative to September climatological highs near 17–19°C. The market-implied odds treat the official resolution criteria—precise station maximum—as settled by verified measurements rather than forecasts.
Unlikely challenges include post-event data revisions or station-specific discrepancies that shift the recorded high to 24°C or 26°C, though multiple independent reports converge on the 25°C peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$42,271結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus on the 25°C outcome at 100% implied probability reflects confirmed observational data from official Buenos Aires weather stations showing a daily maximum of exactly 25°C (77°F) on September 20, 2026.** Surface reports, including from Ministro Pistarini International Airport, recorded afternoon peaks reaching this threshold amid a day of rain, high humidity, and variable winds, with temperatures ranging roughly 14–25°C. This aligned with model consensus from GFS and other guidance that captured a modest warm anomaly relative to September climatological highs near 17–19°C. The market-implied odds treat the official resolution criteria—precise station maximum—as settled by verified measurements rather than forecasts. Unlikely challenges include post-event data revisions or station-specific discrepancies that shift the recorded high to 24°C or 26°C, though multiple independent reports converge on the 25°C peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions