**Trader consensus strongly favors a high of 64-65°F in San Francisco on September 20, driven by National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations showing persistent marine-layer clouds and onshore flow suppressing daytime warming.** Official guidance projects a maximum near 64°F (19°C) under mostly cloudy skies, with west-southwest winds of 8-15 mph limiting solar heating and keeping conditions below the late-September climatological average of roughly 71°F. Model consensus and current surface observations align on this range, reflecting typical September marine influence along the central California coast. A sudden clearing of the stratus layer or a shift to offshore flow could allow modest additional warming, but such developments remain unlikely within the remaining daylight hours given the established synoptic pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山9月20日的最高溫度？
舊金山9月20日的最高溫度？
64-65°F 98%
66-67°F 5%
70-71°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$41,233 交易量
$41,233 交易量
2026-09-20
59°F或以下
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
98%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
華氏74-75度
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F或更高
<1%
64-65°F 98%
66-67°F 5%
70-71°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$41,233 交易量
$41,233 交易量
2026-09-20
59°F或以下
$1,798 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$3,579 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$8,289 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$5,446 交易量
98%
66-67°F
$3,859 交易量
5%
68-69°F
$4,047 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$3,944 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$5,527 交易量
<1%
華氏74-75度
$3,518 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$1,105 交易量
<1%
78°F或更高
$121 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a high of 64-65°F in San Francisco on September 20, driven by National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations showing persistent marine-layer clouds and onshore flow suppressing daytime warming.** Official guidance projects a maximum near 64°F (19°C) under mostly cloudy skies, with west-southwest winds of 8-15 mph limiting solar heating and keeping conditions below the late-September climatological average of roughly 71°F. Model consensus and current surface observations align on this range, reflecting typical September marine influence along the central California coast. A sudden clearing of the stratus layer or a shift to offshore flow could allow modest additional warming, but such developments remain unlikely within the remaining daylight hours given the established synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$41,233結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a high of 64-65°F in San Francisco on September 20, driven by National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations showing persistent marine-layer clouds and onshore flow suppressing daytime warming.** Official guidance projects a maximum near 64°F (19°C) under mostly cloudy skies, with west-southwest winds of 8-15 mph limiting solar heating and keeping conditions below the late-September climatological average of roughly 71°F. Model consensus and current surface observations align on this range, reflecting typical September marine influence along the central California coast. A sudden clearing of the stratus layer or a shift to offshore flow could allow modest additional warming, but such developments remain unlikely within the remaining daylight hours given the established synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$41,233結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ET**Trader consensus strongly favors a high of 64-65°F in San Francisco on September 20, driven by National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations showing persistent marine-layer clouds and onshore flow suppressing daytime warming.** Official guidance projects a maximum near 64°F (19°C) under mostly cloudy skies, with west-southwest winds of 8-15 mph limiting solar heating and keeping conditions below the late-September climatological average of roughly 71°F. Model consensus and current surface observations align on this range, reflecting typical September marine influence along the central California coast. A sudden clearing of the stratus layer or a shift to offshore flow could allow modest additional warming, but such developments remain unlikely within the remaining daylight hours given the established synoptic pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions