Current forecast guidance from the India Meteorological Department and global models points to a minimum temperature near 27°C in Lucknow on September 22, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity, and scattered cloud cover that restricts nighttime radiative cooling. Recent light rainfall and a passing cyclonic circulation have maintained elevated dew points around 24–26°C, consistent with late-September climatology where average lows range 24–26°C. Trader positioning, with 27°C holding the highest implied probability above 50%, aligns with these stable conditions and limited model spread. Scattered thunderstorms remain possible but are unlikely to produce significant cooling, while probabilities for extremes below 23°C or above 30°C reflect low historical precedent under current atmospheric patterns. Updated IMD guidance and model runs in the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日勒克瑙的最低溫度？
9月22日勒克瑙的最低溫度？
27°C 52%
22°C或以下 48%
32°C或更高 48%
26°C 44%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
22°C或以下
48%
23°C
34%
24°C
39%
25°C
34%
26°C
26%
27°C
52%
28°C
37%
29°C
15%
30°C
15%
31°C
15%
32°C或更高
48%
27°C 52%
22°C或以下 48%
32°C或更高 48%
26°C 44%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
22°C或以下
$0 交易量
48%
23°C
$0 交易量
34%
24°C
$0 交易量
39%
25°C
$0 交易量
34%
26°C
$10 交易量
26%
27°C
$29 交易量
52%
28°C
$0 交易量
37%
29°C
$0 交易量
15%
30°C
$0 交易量
15%
31°C
$0 交易量
15%
32°C或更高
$0 交易量
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from the India Meteorological Department and global models points to a minimum temperature near 27°C in Lucknow on September 22, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity, and scattered cloud cover that restricts nighttime radiative cooling. Recent light rainfall and a passing cyclonic circulation have maintained elevated dew points around 24–26°C, consistent with late-September climatology where average lows range 24–26°C. Trader positioning, with 27°C holding the highest implied probability above 50%, aligns with these stable conditions and limited model spread. Scattered thunderstorms remain possible but are unlikely to produce significant cooling, while probabilities for extremes below 23°C or above 30°C reflect low historical precedent under current atmospheric patterns. Updated IMD guidance and model runs in the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$40結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from the India Meteorological Department and global models points to a minimum temperature near 27°C in Lucknow on September 22, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity, and scattered cloud cover that restricts nighttime radiative cooling. Recent light rainfall and a passing cyclonic circulation have maintained elevated dew points around 24–26°C, consistent with late-September climatology where average lows range 24–26°C. Trader positioning, with 27°C holding the highest implied probability above 50%, aligns with these stable conditions and limited model spread. Scattered thunderstorms remain possible but are unlikely to produce significant cooling, while probabilities for extremes below 23°C or above 30°C reflect low historical precedent under current atmospheric patterns. Updated IMD guidance and model runs in the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$40結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecast guidance from the India Meteorological Department and global models points to a minimum temperature near 27°C in Lucknow on September 22, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity, and scattered cloud cover that restricts nighttime radiative cooling. Recent light rainfall and a passing cyclonic circulation have maintained elevated dew points around 24–26°C, consistent with late-September climatology where average lows range 24–26°C. Trader positioning, with 27°C holding the highest implied probability above 50%, aligns with these stable conditions and limited model spread. Scattered thunderstorms remain possible but are unlikely to produce significant cooling, while probabilities for extremes below 23°C or above 30°C reflect low historical precedent under current atmospheric patterns. Updated IMD guidance and model runs in the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions