**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin on September 22 point to a high near 98°F under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and only a slight afternoon shower chance, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 96-97°F (42.5% implied probability) and 98-99°F (38.5%) bins.** Persistent late-summer warmth, driven by above-average soil moisture deficits and a broad ridge, has kept daily maxima several degrees above the 1991–2020 September average of 89.6°F. Minor differences among runs—cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact dew-point evolution—create the tight clustering around the upper 90s rather than a clearer favorite. Updated NWS guidance and any new short-range model outputs tomorrow morning represent the final data points before official observations resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
9月22日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
96-97°F 43%
98-99°F 38%
94-95°F 10%
100-101°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
87°F或以下
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
43%
98-99°F
38%
100-101°F
7%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106°F或以上
<1%
96-97°F 43%
98-99°F 38%
94-95°F 10%
100-101°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
87°F或以下
$40 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$168 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$212 交易量
4%
94-95°F
$290 交易量
10%
96-97°F
$999 交易量
43%
98-99°F
$83 交易量
38%
100-101°F
$103 交易量
7%
102-103°F
$86 交易量
2%
104-105°F
$114 交易量
1%
106°F或以上
$111 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin on September 22 point to a high near 98°F under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and only a slight afternoon shower chance, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 96-97°F (42.5% implied probability) and 98-99°F (38.5%) bins.**
Persistent late-summer warmth, driven by above-average soil moisture deficits and a broad ridge, has kept daily maxima several degrees above the 1991–2020 September average of 89.6°F. Minor differences among runs—cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact dew-point evolution—create the tight clustering around the upper 90s rather than a clearer favorite. Updated NWS guidance and any new short-range model outputs tomorrow morning represent the final data points before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,205結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin on September 22 point to a high near 98°F under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and only a slight afternoon shower chance, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 96-97°F (42.5% implied probability) and 98-99°F (38.5%) bins.**
Persistent late-summer warmth, driven by above-average soil moisture deficits and a broad ridge, has kept daily maxima several degrees above the 1991–2020 September average of 89.6°F. Minor differences among runs—cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact dew-point evolution—create the tight clustering around the upper 90s rather than a clearer favorite. Updated NWS guidance and any new short-range model outputs tomorrow morning represent the final data points before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,205結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ET**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin on September 22 point to a high near 98°F under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and only a slight afternoon shower chance, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 96-97°F (42.5% implied probability) and 98-99°F (38.5%) bins.** Persistent late-summer warmth, driven by above-average soil moisture deficits and a broad ridge, has kept daily maxima several degrees above the 1991–2020 September average of 89.6°F. Minor differences among runs—cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact dew-point evolution—create the tight clustering around the upper 90s rather than a clearer favorite. Updated NWS guidance and any new short-range model outputs tomorrow morning represent the final data points before official observations resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions