Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and supporting models indicate maximum temperatures in Lucknow on September 22 likely reaching 34–36°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers possible, following recent rainfall and the early stages of monsoon withdrawal across Uttar Pradesh. Recent observations show daily highs of 34–36°C amid variable cloud cover and humidity near 70–80%, which has moderated peak heating compared to pre-monsoon norms. Ensemble guidance highlights uncertainty in daytime insolation versus any lingering moisture, favoring market-implied probabilities clustered at 33–34°C while assigning lower weight to 35°C+ outcomes. Updated IMD briefings and model runs through the evening of September 21 will refine the final range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
34°C 51%
33°C 36%
35°C 12%
32°C 3%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
36%
34°C
51%
35°C
12%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C或以上
<1%
34°C 51%
33°C 36%
35°C 12%
32°C 3%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
36%
34°C
51%
35°C
12%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and supporting models indicate maximum temperatures in Lucknow on September 22 likely reaching 34–36°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers possible, following recent rainfall and the early stages of monsoon withdrawal across Uttar Pradesh. Recent observations show daily highs of 34–36°C amid variable cloud cover and humidity near 70–80%, which has moderated peak heating compared to pre-monsoon norms. Ensemble guidance highlights uncertainty in daytime insolation versus any lingering moisture, favoring market-implied probabilities clustered at 33–34°C while assigning lower weight to 35°C+ outcomes. Updated IMD briefings and model runs through the evening of September 21 will refine the final range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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