Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 22 likely between 14–16°C, driven by a mild southerly airflow maintaining above-average conditions under mostly cloudy to partly clear skies with light winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with the ongoing warm spell across southeast England, where daytime highs are projected near 24°C and historical September lows average around 11–13°C. Model consensus remains tight, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip the overnight low by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these factors alongside typical urban heat island effects when assessing the 14–15°C outcomes. Official station data will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日倫敦的最低溫度?
15°C 42%
14°C 35%
16°C 12%
13°C 11%
10°C或以下
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
11%
14°C
35%
15°C
42%
16°C
12%
17°C
6%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C或以上
2%
15°C 42%
14°C 35%
16°C 12%
13°C 11%
10°C或以下
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
11%
14°C
35%
15°C
42%
16°C
12%
17°C
6%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 22 likely between 14–16°C, driven by a mild southerly airflow maintaining above-average conditions under mostly cloudy to partly clear skies with light winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with the ongoing warm spell across southeast England, where daytime highs are projected near 24°C and historical September lows average around 11–13°C. Model consensus remains tight, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip the overnight low by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these factors alongside typical urban heat island effects when assessing the 14–15°C outcomes. Official station data will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions