Recent Met Office guidance, showing a peak of 25°C under sunny intervals and light winds on September 22, anchors trader sentiment, though model spreads and slight regional variations sustain 24°C as the market-implied favorite at 42% probability. Consensus across forecasts places the high between 23–25°C amid a late-September warm spell running 3–5°C above the 20°C climatological average, with low precipitation risk supporting modest upward bias. Traders weigh ensemble uncertainty and potential afternoon cloud increases against the official 25°C call, keeping 25°C at 26.5% while capping higher outcomes below 5%. Final hourly observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日倫敦的最高溫度？
9月22日倫敦的最高溫度？
24°C 44%
25°C 25%
23°C 21%
22°C 7%
最新
$13,608 交易量
最新
$13,608 交易量
2026-09-22
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
7%
23°C
21%
24°C
44%
25°C
25%
26°C或以上
5%
24°C 44%
25°C 25%
23°C 21%
22°C 7%
最新
$13,608 交易量
最新
$13,608 交易量
2026-09-22
16°C或以下
$86 交易量
<1%
17°C
$125 交易量
<1%
18°C
$125 交易量
<1%
19°C
$83 交易量
<1%
20°C
$198 交易量
<1%
21°C
$355 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,545 交易量
7%
23°C
$2,866 交易量
21%
24°C
$1,729 交易量
44%
25°C
$4,646 交易量
25%
26°C或以上
$1,850 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance, showing a peak of 25°C under sunny intervals and light winds on September 22, anchors trader sentiment, though model spreads and slight regional variations sustain 24°C as the market-implied favorite at 42% probability. Consensus across forecasts places the high between 23–25°C amid a late-September warm spell running 3–5°C above the 20°C climatological average, with low precipitation risk supporting modest upward bias. Traders weigh ensemble uncertainty and potential afternoon cloud increases against the official 25°C call, keeping 25°C at 26.5% while capping higher outcomes below 5%. Final hourly observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$13,608結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance, showing a peak of 25°C under sunny intervals and light winds on September 22, anchors trader sentiment, though model spreads and slight regional variations sustain 24°C as the market-implied favorite at 42% probability. Consensus across forecasts places the high between 23–25°C amid a late-September warm spell running 3–5°C above the 20°C climatological average, with low precipitation risk supporting modest upward bias. Traders weigh ensemble uncertainty and potential afternoon cloud increases against the official 25°C call, keeping 25°C at 26.5% while capping higher outcomes below 5%. Final hourly observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,608結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance, showing a peak of 25°C under sunny intervals and light winds on September 22, anchors trader sentiment, though model spreads and slight regional variations sustain 24°C as the market-implied favorite at 42% probability. Consensus across forecasts places the high between 23–25°C amid a late-September warm spell running 3–5°C above the 20°C climatological average, with low precipitation risk supporting modest upward bias. Traders weigh ensemble uncertainty and potential afternoon cloud increases against the official 25°C call, keeping 25°C at 26.5% while capping higher outcomes below 5%. Final hourly observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions