Clear skies, light winds, and a stable high-pressure system over southern England are driving efficient overnight radiative cooling in London on September 21, positioning the minimum temperature near 11°C according to Met Office and European model consensus. Seasonal September norms support lows in the 10–13°C range under similar anticyclonic conditions, while the ongoing mild air mass from recent sunny days limits further drops below 10°C. Official forecasts show overnight readings bottoming around 11–13°C before dawn, with negligible precipitation or cloud cover to retain heat. This setup aligns with the market-implied 54.5% probability on 11°C and 29.5% on 12°C, reflecting trader assessment of model agreement and limited downside risk from unexpected moisture or stronger winds. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日倫敦的最低溫度？
9月21日倫敦的最低溫度？
11°C 52%
12°C 29%
10°C 12%
9°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
8°C或以下
6%
9°C
6%
10°C
12%
11°C
49%
12°C
29%
13°C
8%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或以上
<1%
11°C 52%
12°C 29%
10°C 12%
9°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
8°C或以下
$529 交易量
6%
9°C
$274 交易量
6%
10°C
$1,605 交易量
12%
11°C
$1,336 交易量
49%
12°C
$1,273 交易量
29%
13°C
$380 交易量
8%
14°C
$140 交易量
<1%
15°C
$31 交易量
<1%
16°C
$31 交易量
<1%
17°C
$31 交易量
<1%
18°C或以上
$31 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies, light winds, and a stable high-pressure system over southern England are driving efficient overnight radiative cooling in London on September 21, positioning the minimum temperature near 11°C according to Met Office and European model consensus. Seasonal September norms support lows in the 10–13°C range under similar anticyclonic conditions, while the ongoing mild air mass from recent sunny days limits further drops below 10°C. Official forecasts show overnight readings bottoming around 11–13°C before dawn, with negligible precipitation or cloud cover to retain heat. This setup aligns with the market-implied 54.5% probability on 11°C and 29.5% on 12°C, reflecting trader assessment of model agreement and limited downside risk from unexpected moisture or stronger winds. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$5,663結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies, light winds, and a stable high-pressure system over southern England are driving efficient overnight radiative cooling in London on September 21, positioning the minimum temperature near 11°C according to Met Office and European model consensus. Seasonal September norms support lows in the 10–13°C range under similar anticyclonic conditions, while the ongoing mild air mass from recent sunny days limits further drops below 10°C. Official forecasts show overnight readings bottoming around 11–13°C before dawn, with negligible precipitation or cloud cover to retain heat. This setup aligns with the market-implied 54.5% probability on 11°C and 29.5% on 12°C, reflecting trader assessment of model agreement and limited downside risk from unexpected moisture or stronger winds. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,663結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETClear skies, light winds, and a stable high-pressure system over southern England are driving efficient overnight radiative cooling in London on September 21, positioning the minimum temperature near 11°C according to Met Office and European model consensus. Seasonal September norms support lows in the 10–13°C range under similar anticyclonic conditions, while the ongoing mild air mass from recent sunny days limits further drops below 10°C. Official forecasts show overnight readings bottoming around 11–13°C before dawn, with negligible precipitation or cloud cover to retain heat. This setup aligns with the market-implied 54.5% probability on 11°C and 29.5% on 12°C, reflecting trader assessment of model agreement and limited downside risk from unexpected moisture or stronger winds. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions