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icon for 美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊？
經濟艙·Jerome Powell

美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊？

icon for 美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊？
經濟艙·Jerome Powell

美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊？

$1,832,435 交易量

2026-12-30
Polymarket

$1,832,435 交易量

Polymarket

↑ 5.5%

$55,103 交易量

2%

↑ 5.25%

$142,557 交易量

3%

↑ 5.0%

$19,154 交易量

3%

↑ 4.75%

$80,602 交易量

5%

↑ 4.5%

$39,304 交易量

25%

↑ 4.25%

$126,259 交易量

74%

↓ 3.25%

$81,633 交易量

6%

↓ 3.0%

$318,836 交易量

1%

↓ 2.75%

$365,995 交易量

3%

↓ 2.5%

$224,099 交易量

2%

↓ 2.25%

$41,639 交易量

2%

↓ 2.0%

$19,306 交易量

3%

↓ 1.75%

$13,086 交易量

1%

↓ 1.5%

$28,320 交易量

2%

↓ 1.25%

$3,778 交易量

1%

↓ 1.0%

$2,319 交易量

2%

↓ 0.75%

$741 交易量

2%

↓ 0.5%

$107,192 交易量

2%

↓ 0.25%

$132,356 交易量

2%

↓ 0%

$21,153 交易量

1%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve's September 16, 2026, decision to raise the federal funds target range by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00%—its first hike since 2023—reflects persistent inflation near 3.7% PCE and resilient economic data, including solid GDP growth and a stable unemployment rate around 4.1%. Updated FOMC projections signal another hike by year-end, with the median dot plot at 4.1% through 2027, underscoring a higher-for-longer stance amid geopolitical pressures on energy prices. Futures markets price elevated odds of further tightening before December, while upcoming October and December meetings will test whether labor market softening or sticky core inflation shifts the path. Trader sentiment on Polymarket outcomes for rate levels by end-2026 aggregates this hawkish consensus backed by real capital.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
交易量
$1,832,435
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve's September 16, 2026, decision to raise the federal funds target range by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00%—its first hike since 2023—reflects persistent inflation near 3.7% PCE and resilient economic data, including solid GDP growth and a stable unemployment rate around 4.1%. Updated FOMC projections signal another hike by year-end, with the median dot plot at 4.1% through 2027, underscoring a higher-for-longer stance amid geopolitical pressures on energy prices. Futures markets price elevated odds of further tightening before December, while upcoming October and December meetings will test whether labor market softening or sticky core inflation shifts the path. Trader sentiment on Polymarket outcomes for rate levels by end-2026 aggregates this hawkish consensus backed by real capital.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
交易量
$1,832,435
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↓ 3.5%" at 100%, followed by "↑ 4.25%" at 74%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊？" has generated $1.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊？," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊？" is "↓ 3.5%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ 4.25%" at 74%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.