President Donald Trump has repeatedly clashed with former Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over interest rate policy during his second term, including public criticism, a Department of Justice investigation into headquarters renovations, and explicit threats in April 2026 to remove Powell from his Board of Governors seat if he did not depart by the end of his chair term in May. Powell completed his chairmanship and remained on the board through at least mid-2026 to finish his term ending in 2028. The Supreme Court ruled in 2026 that the president cannot unilaterally dismiss a Fed governor, creating a significant legal barrier. Traders assess the probability of a removal attempt based on these constraints, ongoing administration actions against other Fed officials, and any new pretexts that could test institutional independence before the 2028 term expires.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$31,424 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
4%
12月31日
11%
$31,424 交易量
9月30日
$980 交易量
4%
12月31日
$8,731 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump has repeatedly clashed with former Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over interest rate policy during his second term, including public criticism, a Department of Justice investigation into headquarters renovations, and explicit threats in April 2026 to remove Powell from his Board of Governors seat if he did not depart by the end of his chair term in May. Powell completed his chairmanship and remained on the board through at least mid-2026 to finish his term ending in 2028. The Supreme Court ruled in 2026 that the president cannot unilaterally dismiss a Fed governor, creating a significant legal barrier. Traders assess the probability of a removal attempt based on these constraints, ongoing administration actions against other Fed officials, and any new pretexts that could test institutional independence before the 2028 term expires.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
交易量
$31,424結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 5:47 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump has repeatedly clashed with former Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over interest rate policy during his second term, including public criticism, a Department of Justice investigation into headquarters renovations, and explicit threats in April 2026 to remove Powell from his Board of Governors seat if he did not depart by the end of his chair term in May. Powell completed his chairmanship and remained on the board through at least mid-2026 to finish his term ending in 2028. The Supreme Court ruled in 2026 that the president cannot unilaterally dismiss a Fed governor, creating a significant legal barrier. Traders assess the probability of a removal attempt based on these constraints, ongoing administration actions against other Fed officials, and any new pretexts that could test institutional independence before the 2028 term expires.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$31,424結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 5:47 PM ETPresident Donald Trump has repeatedly clashed with former Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over interest rate policy during his second term, including public criticism, a Department of Justice investigation into headquarters renovations, and explicit threats in April 2026 to remove Powell from his Board of Governors seat if he did not depart by the end of his chair term in May. Powell completed his chairmanship and remained on the board through at least mid-2026 to finish his term ending in 2028. The Supreme Court ruled in 2026 that the president cannot unilaterally dismiss a Fed governor, creating a significant legal barrier. Traders assess the probability of a removal attempt based on these constraints, ongoing administration actions against other Fed officials, and any new pretexts that could test institutional independence before the 2028 term expires.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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