**The Democratic Party of Korea’s 161-seat majority in the 300-seat National Assembly makes formal impeachment before the end of 2026 highly improbable.** Passage requires a two-thirds supermajority (200 votes), so the opposition People Power Party’s 110 seats cannot advance a motion without substantial cross-party defections that have not materialized. A June 2026 citizen petition for impeachment collected over 100,000 signatures and reached committee review, but analysts viewed it as dead on arrival given the ruling party’s control. Lee’s suspended criminal cases (election-law and development-related) have removed immediate judicial pressure since his June 2025 inauguration. Approval ratings have fallen into the mid-to-high 30s amid housing-policy criticism, cabinet-reshuffle controversies, and lingering local-election ballot issues, yet these factors have produced no legislative momentum or scheduled votes. With only months remaining until 2027 and no evident coalition shifts, traders assess the procedural and political barriers as decisive.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật6% khả năng
$21,783 KL.
$21,783 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
6% khả năng
$21,783 KL.
$21,783 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**The Democratic Party of Korea’s 161-seat majority in the 300-seat National Assembly makes formal impeachment before the end of 2026 highly improbable.** Passage requires a two-thirds supermajority (200 votes), so the opposition People Power Party’s 110 seats cannot advance a motion without substantial cross-party defections that have not materialized. A June 2026 citizen petition for impeachment collected over 100,000 signatures and reached committee review, but analysts viewed it as dead on arrival given the ruling party’s control.
Lee’s suspended criminal cases (election-law and development-related) have removed immediate judicial pressure since his June 2025 inauguration. Approval ratings have fallen into the mid-to-high 30s amid housing-policy criticism, cabinet-reshuffle controversies, and lingering local-election ballot issues, yet these factors have produced no legislative momentum or scheduled votes. With only months remaining until 2027 and no evident coalition shifts, traders assess the procedural and political barriers as decisive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Khối lượng
$21,783Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**The Democratic Party of Korea’s 161-seat majority in the 300-seat National Assembly makes formal impeachment before the end of 2026 highly improbable.** Passage requires a two-thirds supermajority (200 votes), so the opposition People Power Party’s 110 seats cannot advance a motion without substantial cross-party defections that have not materialized. A June 2026 citizen petition for impeachment collected over 100,000 signatures and reached committee review, but analysts viewed it as dead on arrival given the ruling party’s control.
Lee’s suspended criminal cases (election-law and development-related) have removed immediate judicial pressure since his June 2025 inauguration. Approval ratings have fallen into the mid-to-high 30s amid housing-policy criticism, cabinet-reshuffle controversies, and lingering local-election ballot issues, yet these factors have produced no legislative momentum or scheduled votes. With only months remaining until 2027 and no evident coalition shifts, traders assess the procedural and political barriers as decisive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Khối lượng
$21,783Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...**The Democratic Party of Korea’s 161-seat majority in the 300-seat National Assembly makes formal impeachment before the end of 2026 highly improbable.** Passage requires a two-thirds supermajority (200 votes), so the opposition People Power Party’s 110 seats cannot advance a motion without substantial cross-party defections that have not materialized. A June 2026 citizen petition for impeachment collected over 100,000 signatures and reached committee review, but analysts viewed it as dead on arrival given the ruling party’s control. Lee’s suspended criminal cases (election-law and development-related) have removed immediate judicial pressure since his June 2025 inauguration. Approval ratings have fallen into the mid-to-high 30s amid housing-policy criticism, cabinet-reshuffle controversies, and lingering local-election ballot issues, yet these factors have produced no legislative momentum or scheduled votes. With only months remaining until 2027 and no evident coalition shifts, traders assess the procedural and political barriers as decisive.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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