Taiwan's opposition parties control a legislative majority but hold only around 62 of 113 seats, well short of the two-thirds supermajority required to advance an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te to the Constitutional Court. The December 2025 revenue-sharing dispute triggered the first-ever presidential impeachment proceedings, yet the May 2026 floor vote failed 56-50. No new motions have advanced since, and ongoing partisan tensions over budgets, defense spending, and cross-strait policy have not produced the additional seats or procedural changes needed to overcome the threshold. Traders therefore price the outcome as unlikely absent a major shift in legislative composition or a fresh catalyst capable of unifying broader support.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1,359,010 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
3%
$1,359,010 KL.
December 31
$315 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties control a legislative majority but hold only around 62 of 113 seats, well short of the two-thirds supermajority required to advance an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te to the Constitutional Court. The December 2025 revenue-sharing dispute triggered the first-ever presidential impeachment proceedings, yet the May 2026 floor vote failed 56-50. No new motions have advanced since, and ongoing partisan tensions over budgets, defense spending, and cross-strait policy have not produced the additional seats or procedural changes needed to overcome the threshold. Traders therefore price the outcome as unlikely absent a major shift in legislative composition or a fresh catalyst capable of unifying broader support.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,359,010Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties control a legislative majority but hold only around 62 of 113 seats, well short of the two-thirds supermajority required to advance an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te to the Constitutional Court. The December 2025 revenue-sharing dispute triggered the first-ever presidential impeachment proceedings, yet the May 2026 floor vote failed 56-50. No new motions have advanced since, and ongoing partisan tensions over budgets, defense spending, and cross-strait policy have not produced the additional seats or procedural changes needed to overcome the threshold. Traders therefore price the outcome as unlikely absent a major shift in legislative composition or a fresh catalyst capable of unifying broader support.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Khối lượng
$1,359,010Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Taiwan's opposition parties control a legislative majority but hold only around 62 of 113 seats, well short of the two-thirds supermajority required to advance an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te to the Constitutional Court. The December 2025 revenue-sharing dispute triggered the first-ever presidential impeachment proceedings, yet the May 2026 floor vote failed 56-50. No new motions have advanced since, and ongoing partisan tensions over budgets, defense spending, and cross-strait policy have not produced the additional seats or procedural changes needed to overcome the threshold. Traders therefore price the outcome as unlikely absent a major shift in legislative composition or a fresh catalyst capable of unifying broader support.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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