Recent polls conducted after candidate lists were finalized in early September show the Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, headed by Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelekha, receiving between 1.4% and 3.2% of the vote, placing it near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Its performance remains sensitive to turnout among reservists, who have shown divided preferences in targeted surveys, and to competition from other center-right lists such as Yashar. With roughly seven weeks until the October 27 election and more than 11% of voters still undecided in some surveys, small shifts in bloc dynamics or late campaign developments could determine whether the slate secures three to four seats or falls short. Trader pricing reflects this narrow band of outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật3.25-3.75% 46%
4.25%+ 39%
<2.75% 38%
3.75-4.25% 35%
<2.75%
38%
2.75-3.25%
31%
3.25-3.75%
46%
3.75-4.25%
35%
4.25%+
39%
3.25-3.75% 46%
4.25%+ 39%
<2.75% 38%
3.75-4.25% 35%
<2.75%
38%
2.75-3.25%
31%
3.25-3.75%
46%
3.75-4.25%
35%
4.25%+
39%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls conducted after candidate lists were finalized in early September show the Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, headed by Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelekha, receiving between 1.4% and 3.2% of the vote, placing it near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Its performance remains sensitive to turnout among reservists, who have shown divided preferences in targeted surveys, and to competition from other center-right lists such as Yashar. With roughly seven weeks until the October 27 election and more than 11% of voters still undecided in some surveys, small shifts in bloc dynamics or late campaign developments could determine whether the slate secures three to four seats or falls short. Trader pricing reflects this narrow band of outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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