The August 2026 ISM Services PMI print of 55.4, exceeding consensus by 1.2 points amid accelerated business activity (61.7) and new orders (60.9), anchors trader positioning for the September release. Persistent expansion—now 26 consecutive months—combined with rising backlogs and inventories supports the leading 54.0–54.9 bucket at 42.5% implied probability, while employment contraction (47.8) and prices paid surging to 72.6 temper upside bets on 55.0–55.9 (20.5%). Tariff effects and Middle East supply-chain strains continue to elevate input costs, consistent with the 12-month average near 53.4. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game aggregation ahead of the October 5 release, with labor-market data and any FOMC signals as near-term swing factors.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật54.0 to 54.9 42%
55.0 to 55.9 21%
57.0 to 57.9 18.7%
53.0 to 53.9 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 5, 2026
<51.0
1%
51.0 to 51.9
1%
52.0 to 52.9
12%
53.0 to 53.9
14%
54.0 to 54.9
42%
55.0 to 55.9
21%
56.0 to 56.9
10%
57.0 to 57.9
19%
58.0 to 58.9
7%
59.0+
8%
54.0 to 54.9 42%
55.0 to 55.9 21%
57.0 to 57.9 18.7%
53.0 to 53.9 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 5, 2026
<51.0
$872 KL.
1%
51.0 to 51.9
$127 KL.
1%
52.0 to 52.9
$127 KL.
12%
53.0 to 53.9
$370 KL.
14%
54.0 to 54.9
$4,045 KL.
42%
55.0 to 55.9
$168 KL.
21%
56.0 to 56.9
$670 KL.
10%
57.0 to 57.9
$1,962 KL.
19%
58.0 to 58.9
$139 KL.
7%
59.0+
$168 KL.
8%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The August 2026 ISM Services PMI print of 55.4, exceeding consensus by 1.2 points amid accelerated business activity (61.7) and new orders (60.9), anchors trader positioning for the September release. Persistent expansion—now 26 consecutive months—combined with rising backlogs and inventories supports the leading 54.0–54.9 bucket at 42.5% implied probability, while employment contraction (47.8) and prices paid surging to 72.6 temper upside bets on 55.0–55.9 (20.5%). Tariff effects and Middle East supply-chain strains continue to elevate input costs, consistent with the 12-month average near 53.4. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game aggregation ahead of the October 5 release, with labor-market data and any FOMC signals as near-term swing factors.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$8,647Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The August 2026 ISM Services PMI print of 55.4, exceeding consensus by 1.2 points amid accelerated business activity (61.7) and new orders (60.9), anchors trader positioning for the September release. Persistent expansion—now 26 consecutive months—combined with rising backlogs and inventories supports the leading 54.0–54.9 bucket at 42.5% implied probability, while employment contraction (47.8) and prices paid surging to 72.6 temper upside bets on 55.0–55.9 (20.5%). Tariff effects and Middle East supply-chain strains continue to elevate input costs, consistent with the 12-month average near 53.4. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game aggregation ahead of the October 5 release, with labor-market data and any FOMC signals as near-term swing factors.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Khối lượng
$8,647Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The August 2026 ISM Services PMI print of 55.4, exceeding consensus by 1.2 points amid accelerated business activity (61.7) and new orders (60.9), anchors trader positioning for the September release. Persistent expansion—now 26 consecutive months—combined with rising backlogs and inventories supports the leading 54.0–54.9 bucket at 42.5% implied probability, while employment contraction (47.8) and prices paid surging to 72.6 temper upside bets on 55.0–55.9 (20.5%). Tariff effects and Middle East supply-chain strains continue to elevate input costs, consistent with the 12-month average near 53.4. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game aggregation ahead of the October 5 release, with labor-market data and any FOMC signals as near-term swing factors.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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