Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing activity shapes trader positioning for the September 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI, with August's reading at 54.6 marking the eighth straight month of expansion but down from July's 55.6 amid slower new orders (53.7) and persistent price pressures (71.1). The NY Fed's September manufacturing index slowdown, while remaining expansionary, reinforces expectations for continued but tempered growth near 54-55, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those ranges. Elevated input costs tied to tariffs and supply constraints, alongside resilient production (58.3) and low customer inventories, support the current implied odds near 47% for readings of 54.0-55.9. The October 1 release will test whether momentum holds amid broader economic resilience.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật55.0 to 55.9 25%
54.0 to 54.9 22%
53.0 to 53.9 18%
52.0 to 52.9 17%
$12,476 KL.
$12,476 KL.
Oct 1, 2026
<50.0
<1%
50.0 to 50.9
1%
51.0 to 51.9
6%
52.0 to 52.9
17%
53.0 to 53.9
18%
54.0 to 54.9
22%
55.0 to 55.9
25%
56.0 to 56.9
12%
57.0 to 57.9
7%
58.0+
4%
55.0 to 55.9 25%
54.0 to 54.9 22%
53.0 to 53.9 18%
52.0 to 52.9 17%
$12,476 KL.
$12,476 KL.
Oct 1, 2026
<50.0
$236 KL.
<1%
50.0 to 50.9
$1,070 KL.
1%
51.0 to 51.9
$730 KL.
6%
52.0 to 52.9
$161 KL.
17%
53.0 to 53.9
$1,344 KL.
18%
54.0 to 54.9
$4,589 KL.
22%
55.0 to 55.9
$379 KL.
25%
56.0 to 56.9
$107 KL.
12%
57.0 to 57.9
$3,645 KL.
7%
58.0+
$234 KL.
4%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing activity shapes trader positioning for the September 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI, with August's reading at 54.6 marking the eighth straight month of expansion but down from July's 55.6 amid slower new orders (53.7) and persistent price pressures (71.1). The NY Fed's September manufacturing index slowdown, while remaining expansionary, reinforces expectations for continued but tempered growth near 54-55, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those ranges. Elevated input costs tied to tariffs and supply constraints, alongside resilient production (58.3) and low customer inventories, support the current implied odds near 47% for readings of 54.0-55.9. The October 1 release will test whether momentum holds amid broader economic resilience.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Khối lượng
$12,476Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing activity shapes trader positioning for the September 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI, with August's reading at 54.6 marking the eighth straight month of expansion but down from July's 55.6 amid slower new orders (53.7) and persistent price pressures (71.1). The NY Fed's September manufacturing index slowdown, while remaining expansionary, reinforces expectations for continued but tempered growth near 54-55, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those ranges. Elevated input costs tied to tariffs and supply constraints, alongside resilient production (58.3) and low customer inventories, support the current implied odds near 47% for readings of 54.0-55.9. The October 1 release will test whether momentum holds amid broader economic resilience.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Khối lượng
$12,476Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing activity shapes trader positioning for the September 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI, with August's reading at 54.6 marking the eighth straight month of expansion but down from July's 55.6 amid slower new orders (53.7) and persistent price pressures (71.1). The NY Fed's September manufacturing index slowdown, while remaining expansionary, reinforces expectations for continued but tempered growth near 54-55, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those ranges. Elevated input costs tied to tariffs and supply constraints, alongside resilient production (58.3) and low customer inventories, support the current implied odds near 47% for readings of 54.0-55.9. The October 1 release will test whether momentum holds amid broader economic resilience.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp