Trader sentiment for the September 2026 PPI year-over-year figure shows a fragmented distribution, with the highest-implied-probability outcome at just 34.5%, underscoring broad uncertainty in producer inflation trends. Mixed signals from recent economic data, including moderating demand alongside lingering supply pressures and commodity fluctuations, have kept forecasts dispersed across the 5.0%–6.0% range. The Federal Reserve’s data-dependent stance, shaped by labor market resilience and prior CPI prints, continues to influence market-implied odds for monetary policy easing. Traders are focused on upcoming releases such as the next CPI report and employment figures, which could shift expectations for the PPI print amid typical seasonal and methodological adjustments. This setup highlights the wisdom of crowds in pricing divergent scenarios without a dominant consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật5.9%+ 35%
5.8% 21%
5.5% 20%
5.7% 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 15, 2026
≤5.0%
11%
5.1%
13%
5.2%
14%
5.3%
17%
5.4%
18%
5.5%
20%
5.6%
19%
5.7%
20%
5.8%
21%
5.9%+
35%
5.9%+ 35%
5.8% 21%
5.5% 20%
5.7% 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 15, 2026
≤5.0%
$23 KL.
11%
5.1%
$23 KL.
13%
5.2%
$23 KL.
14%
5.3%
$23 KL.
17%
5.4%
$23 KL.
18%
5.5%
$23 KL.
20%
5.6%
$23 KL.
19%
5.7%
$23 KL.
20%
5.8%
$23 KL.
21%
5.9%+
$53 KL.
35%
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader sentiment for the September 2026 PPI year-over-year figure shows a fragmented distribution, with the highest-implied-probability outcome at just 34.5%, underscoring broad uncertainty in producer inflation trends. Mixed signals from recent economic data, including moderating demand alongside lingering supply pressures and commodity fluctuations, have kept forecasts dispersed across the 5.0%–6.0% range. The Federal Reserve’s data-dependent stance, shaped by labor market resilience and prior CPI prints, continues to influence market-implied odds for monetary policy easing. Traders are focused on upcoming releases such as the next CPI report and employment figures, which could shift expectations for the PPI print amid typical seasonal and methodological adjustments. This setup highlights the wisdom of crowds in pricing divergent scenarios without a dominant consensus.
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$260Ngày kết thúc
Oct 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 3:48 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader sentiment for the September 2026 PPI year-over-year figure shows a fragmented distribution, with the highest-implied-probability outcome at just 34.5%, underscoring broad uncertainty in producer inflation trends. Mixed signals from recent economic data, including moderating demand alongside lingering supply pressures and commodity fluctuations, have kept forecasts dispersed across the 5.0%–6.0% range. The Federal Reserve’s data-dependent stance, shaped by labor market resilience and prior CPI prints, continues to influence market-implied odds for monetary policy easing. Traders are focused on upcoming releases such as the next CPI report and employment figures, which could shift expectations for the PPI print amid typical seasonal and methodological adjustments. This setup highlights the wisdom of crowds in pricing divergent scenarios without a dominant consensus.
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Khối lượng
$260Ngày kết thúc
Oct 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 3:48 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the September 2026 PPI year-over-year figure shows a fragmented distribution, with the highest-implied-probability outcome at just 34.5%, underscoring broad uncertainty in producer inflation trends. Mixed signals from recent economic data, including moderating demand alongside lingering supply pressures and commodity fluctuations, have kept forecasts dispersed across the 5.0%–6.0% range. The Federal Reserve’s data-dependent stance, shaped by labor market resilience and prior CPI prints, continues to influence market-implied odds for monetary policy easing. Traders are focused on upcoming releases such as the next CPI report and employment figures, which could shift expectations for the PPI print amid typical seasonal and methodological adjustments. This setup highlights the wisdom of crowds in pricing divergent scenarios without a dominant consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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