The 5-year Treasury yield stood at 4.62% as of September 9, 2026, up from 4.57% the prior session and well above year-ago levels near 3.61%. Hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, citing persistent PCE inflation near 3.7% and AI-driven productivity gains that could lift the neutral rate, have driven market-implied odds of a September FOMC hike higher while boosting real yields. Sticky core inflation, resilient labor market data, and lingering effects from the Iran-related oil shock have further supported the move, outweighing any cooling in breakeven measures. Traders now focus on the September 10 PPI, September 11 CPI, and September 16 FOMC decision with updated projections as key near-term catalysts that could shift the yield path for the remainder of the month.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
4.90%
14%
4.83%
20%
4.78%
29%
4.73%
38%
4.70%
48%
4.67%
56%
4.64%
69%
$8,702 KL.
4.90%
$535 KL.
14%
4.83%
$1,809 KL.
20%
4.78%
$1,165 KL.
29%
4.73%
$91 KL.
38%
4.70%
$881 KL.
48%
4.67%
$296 KL.
56%
4.64%
$1,137 KL.
69%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 5-year Treasury yield stood at 4.62% as of September 9, 2026, up from 4.57% the prior session and well above year-ago levels near 3.61%. Hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, citing persistent PCE inflation near 3.7% and AI-driven productivity gains that could lift the neutral rate, have driven market-implied odds of a September FOMC hike higher while boosting real yields. Sticky core inflation, resilient labor market data, and lingering effects from the Iran-related oil shock have further supported the move, outweighing any cooling in breakeven measures. Traders now focus on the September 10 PPI, September 11 CPI, and September 16 FOMC decision with updated projections as key near-term catalysts that could shift the yield path for the remainder of the month.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Khối lượng
$8,702Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 5-year Treasury yield stood at 4.62% as of September 9, 2026, up from 4.57% the prior session and well above year-ago levels near 3.61%. Hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, citing persistent PCE inflation near 3.7% and AI-driven productivity gains that could lift the neutral rate, have driven market-implied odds of a September FOMC hike higher while boosting real yields. Sticky core inflation, resilient labor market data, and lingering effects from the Iran-related oil shock have further supported the move, outweighing any cooling in breakeven measures. Traders now focus on the September 10 PPI, September 11 CPI, and September 16 FOMC decision with updated projections as key near-term catalysts that could shift the yield path for the remainder of the month.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Khối lượng
$8,702Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The 5-year Treasury yield stood at 4.62% as of September 9, 2026, up from 4.57% the prior session and well above year-ago levels near 3.61%. Hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, citing persistent PCE inflation near 3.7% and AI-driven productivity gains that could lift the neutral rate, have driven market-implied odds of a September FOMC hike higher while boosting real yields. Sticky core inflation, resilient labor market data, and lingering effects from the Iran-related oil shock have further supported the move, outweighing any cooling in breakeven measures. Traders now focus on the September 10 PPI, September 11 CPI, and September 16 FOMC decision with updated projections as key near-term catalysts that could shift the yield path for the remainder of the month.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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