Recent August CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, with core at 2.4%, has anchored trader expectations for September around similar levels amid persistent energy price pressures from geopolitical supply shocks. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 3.43%, while forecasts cluster near 3.4-3.6% as shelter costs ease modestly but gasoline and related components remain elevated. The tight distribution of market-implied odds across 3.4-3.6% reflects uncertainty over monthly volatility in volatile categories and potential revisions, with traders weighing whether disinflation momentum will reemerge before the October 14 release. Upcoming labor market data and any further commodity swings could shift the balance toward higher or lower prints within this narrow range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật3.5% 35%
3.6% 32%
3.4% 21%
3.7% 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 14, 2026
≤2.9%
3%
3.0%
4%
3.1%
5%
3.2%
5%
3.3%
4%
3.4%
21%
3.5%
35%
3.6%
32%
3.7%
9%
3.8%
5%
3.9%
1%
≥4.0%
4%
3.5% 35%
3.6% 32%
3.4% 21%
3.7% 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 14, 2026
≤2.9%
$83 KL.
3%
3.0%
$67 KL.
4%
3.1%
$64 KL.
5%
3.2%
$87 KL.
5%
3.3%
$345 KL.
4%
3.4%
$616 KL.
21%
3.5%
$1,297 KL.
35%
3.6%
$725 KL.
32%
3.7%
$309 KL.
9%
3.8%
$54 KL.
5%
3.9%
$288 KL.
1%
≥4.0%
$129 KL.
4%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, with core at 2.4%, has anchored trader expectations for September around similar levels amid persistent energy price pressures from geopolitical supply shocks. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 3.43%, while forecasts cluster near 3.4-3.6% as shelter costs ease modestly but gasoline and related components remain elevated. The tight distribution of market-implied odds across 3.4-3.6% reflects uncertainty over monthly volatility in volatile categories and potential revisions, with traders weighing whether disinflation momentum will reemerge before the October 14 release. Upcoming labor market data and any further commodity swings could shift the balance toward higher or lower prints within this narrow range.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,066Ngày kết thúc
Oct 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, with core at 2.4%, has anchored trader expectations for September around similar levels amid persistent energy price pressures from geopolitical supply shocks. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 3.43%, while forecasts cluster near 3.4-3.6% as shelter costs ease modestly but gasoline and related components remain elevated. The tight distribution of market-implied odds across 3.4-3.6% reflects uncertainty over monthly volatility in volatile categories and potential revisions, with traders weighing whether disinflation momentum will reemerge before the October 14 release. Upcoming labor market data and any further commodity swings could shift the balance toward higher or lower prints within this narrow range.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Khối lượng
$4,066Ngày kết thúc
Oct 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent August CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, with core at 2.4%, has anchored trader expectations for September around similar levels amid persistent energy price pressures from geopolitical supply shocks. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 3.43%, while forecasts cluster near 3.4-3.6% as shelter costs ease modestly but gasoline and related components remain elevated. The tight distribution of market-implied odds across 3.4-3.6% reflects uncertainty over monthly volatility in volatile categories and potential revisions, with traders weighing whether disinflation momentum will reemerge before the October 14 release. Upcoming labor market data and any further commodity swings could shift the balance toward higher or lower prints within this narrow range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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