Recent upward pressure on 30-year Treasury yields, now near 5.28% after touching 5.31% in August, stems primarily from resilient economic data, elevated oil prices amid geopolitical tensions, and persistent inflation concerns. Heavy Treasury issuance, widening fiscal deficits, and strong corporate borrowing—particularly to fund AI-related investments—have increased bond supply and lifted term premiums. Market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting hover near 60%, while upcoming releases on producer prices and labor conditions could further shift expectations. These dynamics contrast with the long-term average near 4.7%, underscoring uncertainty around the peak level before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
MỚI
Dec 30, 2026
6.00%
7%
5.80%
8%
5.70%
29%
5.65%
34%
5.60%
38%
5.55%
44%
5.50%
52%
5.45%
57%
5.40%
72%
$5,098 KL.
6.00%
$573 KL.
7%
5.80%
$1,045 KL.
8%
5.70%
$0 KL.
29%
5.65%
$524 KL.
34%
5.60%
$242 KL.
38%
5.55%
$352 KL.
44%
5.50%
$187 KL.
52%
5.45%
$386 KL.
57%
5.40%
$1,788 KL.
72%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent upward pressure on 30-year Treasury yields, now near 5.28% after touching 5.31% in August, stems primarily from resilient economic data, elevated oil prices amid geopolitical tensions, and persistent inflation concerns. Heavy Treasury issuance, widening fiscal deficits, and strong corporate borrowing—particularly to fund AI-related investments—have increased bond supply and lifted term premiums. Market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting hover near 60%, while upcoming releases on producer prices and labor conditions could further shift expectations. These dynamics contrast with the long-term average near 4.7%, underscoring uncertainty around the peak level before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,098Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent upward pressure on 30-year Treasury yields, now near 5.28% after touching 5.31% in August, stems primarily from resilient economic data, elevated oil prices amid geopolitical tensions, and persistent inflation concerns. Heavy Treasury issuance, widening fiscal deficits, and strong corporate borrowing—particularly to fund AI-related investments—have increased bond supply and lifted term premiums. Market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting hover near 60%, while upcoming releases on producer prices and labor conditions could further shift expectations. These dynamics contrast with the long-term average near 4.7%, underscoring uncertainty around the peak level before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Khối lượng
$5,098Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Recent upward pressure on 30-year Treasury yields, now near 5.28% after touching 5.31% in August, stems primarily from resilient economic data, elevated oil prices amid geopolitical tensions, and persistent inflation concerns. Heavy Treasury issuance, widening fiscal deficits, and strong corporate borrowing—particularly to fund AI-related investments—have increased bond supply and lifted term premiums. Market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting hover near 60%, while upcoming releases on producer prices and labor conditions could further shift expectations. These dynamics contrast with the long-term average near 4.7%, underscoring uncertainty around the peak level before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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