The Federal Reserve’s September 16, 2026 decision to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a 3.75–4.00% target range, with projections signaling one additional hike this year, represents the primary driver of recent 5-year Treasury yield movements. The 5-year yield has traded near 4.83–4.85% amid elevated inflation, as the August CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, with core measures also firm. Resilient economic growth, solid labor market conditions, and geopolitical pressures on energy prices have reinforced trader expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path. Market-implied odds now reflect the potential for yields to test or exceed recent highs before year-end, with upcoming FOMC meetings and October CPI data serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift the rate trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$17,730 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
5.25%
33%
5.10%
67%
5.00%
75%
4.95%
85%
4.90%
86%
$17,730 KL.
5.25%
$2,533 KL.
33%
5.10%
$4,811 KL.
67%
5.00%
$4,032 KL.
75%
4.95%
$226 KL.
85%
4.90%
$206 KL.
86%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The Federal Reserve’s September 16, 2026 decision to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a 3.75–4.00% target range, with projections signaling one additional hike this year, represents the primary driver of recent 5-year Treasury yield movements. The 5-year yield has traded near 4.83–4.85% amid elevated inflation, as the August CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, with core measures also firm. Resilient economic growth, solid labor market conditions, and geopolitical pressures on energy prices have reinforced trader expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path. Market-implied odds now reflect the potential for yields to test or exceed recent highs before year-end, with upcoming FOMC meetings and October CPI data serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift the rate trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Khối lượng
$17,730Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The Federal Reserve’s September 16, 2026 decision to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a 3.75–4.00% target range, with projections signaling one additional hike this year, represents the primary driver of recent 5-year Treasury yield movements. The 5-year yield has traded near 4.83–4.85% amid elevated inflation, as the August CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, with core measures also firm. Resilient economic growth, solid labor market conditions, and geopolitical pressures on energy prices have reinforced trader expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path. Market-implied odds now reflect the potential for yields to test or exceed recent highs before year-end, with upcoming FOMC meetings and October CPI data serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift the rate trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Khối lượng
$17,730Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve’s September 16, 2026 decision to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a 3.75–4.00% target range, with projections signaling one additional hike this year, represents the primary driver of recent 5-year Treasury yield movements. The 5-year yield has traded near 4.83–4.85% amid elevated inflation, as the August CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, with core measures also firm. Resilient economic growth, solid labor market conditions, and geopolitical pressures on energy prices have reinforced trader expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path. Market-implied odds now reflect the potential for yields to test or exceed recent highs before year-end, with upcoming FOMC meetings and October CPI data serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift the rate trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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