Imelda Castro Castro holds an 86.5% implied probability in the Sinaloa governor race as Morena’s designated state coordinator for the 2027 contest, following her August 2026 selection by national party leadership after an internal process with over a dozen aspirants. This positioning stems from her Senate tenure, alignment with federal priorities under President Sheinbaum, and efforts to distance from the prior administration’s legal issues involving former governor Rubén Rocha Moya. The June 6, 2027, election date and Morena’s structural advantages in the state further support trader consensus around her path. Lower-probability names such as Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil (3.2%) and others reflect limited traction outside the party’s preferred channel, with no major recent shifts reported in polling or endorsements that would alter the current distribution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วImelda Castro Castro 87%
Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil 3.0%
Omar López Campos 2.9%
Tomás de Jesús López Bajo 2.7%
$29,028 ปริมาณ
$29,028 ปริมาณ
Imelda Castro Castro
87%
Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil
3%
Omar López Campos
3%
Tomás de Jesús López Bajo
3%
Eduardo Ortiz Hernández
3%
Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros
2%
Roxana Rubio Valdez
2%
Sergio Torres Félix
2%
Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos
2%
Guillermo Romero Rodríguez
2%
María Teresa Guerra Ochoa
2%
Lucila Ayala de Moreschi
2%
Ricardo Madrid Pérez
2%
Paloma Sánchez Ramos
2%
María Fernanda Rivera
1%
Graciela Domínguez Nava
1%
Mario Zamora Gastélum
1%
Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez
1%
Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García
1%
Jesús Fernando García Hernández
1%
Estrella Palacios Domínguez
<1%
Imelda Castro Castro 87%
Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil 3.0%
Omar López Campos 2.9%
Tomás de Jesús López Bajo 2.7%
$29,028 ปริมาณ
$29,028 ปริมาณ
Imelda Castro Castro
87%
Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil
3%
Omar López Campos
3%
Tomás de Jesús López Bajo
3%
Eduardo Ortiz Hernández
3%
Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros
2%
Roxana Rubio Valdez
2%
Sergio Torres Félix
2%
Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos
2%
Guillermo Romero Rodríguez
2%
María Teresa Guerra Ochoa
2%
Lucila Ayala de Moreschi
2%
Ricardo Madrid Pérez
2%
Paloma Sánchez Ramos
2%
María Fernanda Rivera
1%
Graciela Domínguez Nava
1%
Mario Zamora Gastélum
1%
Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez
1%
Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García
1%
Jesús Fernando García Hernández
1%
Estrella Palacios Domínguez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Imelda Castro Castro holds an 86.5% implied probability in the Sinaloa governor race as Morena’s designated state coordinator for the 2027 contest, following her August 2026 selection by national party leadership after an internal process with over a dozen aspirants. This positioning stems from her Senate tenure, alignment with federal priorities under President Sheinbaum, and efforts to distance from the prior administration’s legal issues involving former governor Rubén Rocha Moya. The June 6, 2027, election date and Morena’s structural advantages in the state further support trader consensus around her path. Lower-probability names such as Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil (3.2%) and others reflect limited traction outside the party’s preferred channel, with no major recent shifts reported in polling or endorsements that would alter the current distribution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย