Recent polling in Piauí shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats, with Marcelo Castro (MDB), Júlio César (PSD), and Ciro Nogueira (PP) clustered near the top in first- and second-vote scenarios. High undecided shares and blank/null intentions keep the ordering fluid, while Júlio César’s strength as a second-preference option and Castro’s consistent first-vote lead sustain close probabilities for second place. Elevated rejection for Ciro Nogueira limits his upside relative to the other two. The October 4 vote, combined with ongoing coalition alignments around Governor Rafael Fonteles, will determine final separation among these frontrunners and the long tail of lower-polling candidates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPiauí Senate Election: 2nd Place
Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place
Julio Cesar 35.0%
Marcelo Castro 31.8%
Ciro Nogueira 12%
Tiago Junqueira 5.1%
$42,854 ปริมาณ
$42,854 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Julio Cesar
35%
Marcelo Castro
32%
Ciro Nogueira
12%
Tiago Junqueira
5%
Toinho Dufrango
<1%
Francinaldo Leão
<1%
Alexandre Mariano
<1%
Maria Madalena Nunes
<1%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro
<1%
Cloves José
<1%
Dionisio Carvalho
<1%
Jardenya Bezerra
<1%
Antônio José Lira
<1%
Major Paulo Roberto
<1%
Antônio Barros
<1%
Danniel Rocha
<1%
Irmão Evandro Marques
<1%
Jorge Lopes
<1%
Pastor Sena
<1%
Pedro Laurentino
<1%
Julio Cesar 35.0%
Marcelo Castro 31.8%
Ciro Nogueira 12%
Tiago Junqueira 5.1%
$42,854 ปริมาณ
$42,854 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Julio Cesar
$6,246 ปริมาณ
35%
Marcelo Castro
$8,189 ปริมาณ
32%
Ciro Nogueira
$14,946 ปริมาณ
12%
Tiago Junqueira
$1,226 ปริมาณ
5%
Toinho Dufrango
$782 ปริมาณ
<1%
Francinaldo Leão
$818 ปริมาณ
<1%
Alexandre Mariano
$774 ปริมาณ
<1%
Maria Madalena Nunes
$766 ปริมาณ
<1%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro
$756 ปริมาณ
<1%
Cloves José
$804 ปริมาณ
<1%
Dionisio Carvalho
$762 ปริมาณ
<1%
Jardenya Bezerra
$785 ปริมาณ
<1%
Antônio José Lira
$778 ปริมาณ
<1%
Major Paulo Roberto
$782 ปริมาณ
<1%
Antônio Barros
$730 ปริมาณ
<1%
Danniel Rocha
$759 ปริมาณ
<1%
Irmão Evandro Marques
$785 ปริมาณ
<1%
Jorge Lopes
$643 ปริมาณ
<1%
Pastor Sena
$791 ปริมาณ
<1%
Pedro Laurentino
$732 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Piauí shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats, with Marcelo Castro (MDB), Júlio César (PSD), and Ciro Nogueira (PP) clustered near the top in first- and second-vote scenarios. High undecided shares and blank/null intentions keep the ordering fluid, while Júlio César’s strength as a second-preference option and Castro’s consistent first-vote lead sustain close probabilities for second place. Elevated rejection for Ciro Nogueira limits his upside relative to the other two. The October 4 vote, combined with ongoing coalition alignments around Governor Rafael Fonteles, will determine final separation among these frontrunners and the long tail of lower-polling candidates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,854วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Piauí shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats, with Marcelo Castro (MDB), Júlio César (PSD), and Ciro Nogueira (PP) clustered near the top in first- and second-vote scenarios. High undecided shares and blank/null intentions keep the ordering fluid, while Júlio César’s strength as a second-preference option and Castro’s consistent first-vote lead sustain close probabilities for second place. Elevated rejection for Ciro Nogueira limits his upside relative to the other two. The October 4 vote, combined with ongoing coalition alignments around Governor Rafael Fonteles, will determine final separation among these frontrunners and the long tail of lower-polling candidates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,854วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Piauí shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats, with Marcelo Castro (MDB), Júlio César (PSD), and Ciro Nogueira (PP) clustered near the top in first- and second-vote scenarios. High undecided shares and blank/null intentions keep the ordering fluid, while Júlio César’s strength as a second-preference option and Castro’s consistent first-vote lead sustain close probabilities for second place. Elevated rejection for Ciro Nogueira limits his upside relative to the other two. The October 4 vote, combined with ongoing coalition alignments around Governor Rafael Fonteles, will determine final separation among these frontrunners and the long tail of lower-polling candidates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย