Incumbent Madeleine Dean holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 4th Congressional District race heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition in Montgomery and Berks counties and Dean’s consistent electoral performance since taking office in 2019. She advanced unopposed through the May 19 Democratic primary and benefits from substantial fundraising and committee roles on Appropriations and Foreign Affairs. Challenger Aurora Stuski, a local business owner who also ran unopposed in the Republican primary, focuses on cost reduction, border security, and community priorities but faces structural disadvantages in a district with a demonstrated Democratic tilt in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Dean incorporates these fundamentals, though shifts in national economic conditions, turnout patterns, or unexpected campaign developments could still alter the margin before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPA-04 House Election Winner
PA-04 House Election Winner
$19,259 ปริมาณ
$19,259 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Madeleine Dean (D)
95%
Aurora Stuski (R)
6%
$19,259 ปริมาณ
$19,259 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Madeleine Dean (D)
$6,759 ปริมาณ
95%
Aurora Stuski (R)
$12,501 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Madeleine Dean holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 4th Congressional District race heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition in Montgomery and Berks counties and Dean’s consistent electoral performance since taking office in 2019. She advanced unopposed through the May 19 Democratic primary and benefits from substantial fundraising and committee roles on Appropriations and Foreign Affairs. Challenger Aurora Stuski, a local business owner who also ran unopposed in the Republican primary, focuses on cost reduction, border security, and community priorities but faces structural disadvantages in a district with a demonstrated Democratic tilt in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Dean incorporates these fundamentals, though shifts in national economic conditions, turnout patterns, or unexpected campaign developments could still alter the margin before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,259วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Madeleine Dean holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 4th Congressional District race heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition in Montgomery and Berks counties and Dean’s consistent electoral performance since taking office in 2019. She advanced unopposed through the May 19 Democratic primary and benefits from substantial fundraising and committee roles on Appropriations and Foreign Affairs. Challenger Aurora Stuski, a local business owner who also ran unopposed in the Republican primary, focuses on cost reduction, border security, and community priorities but faces structural disadvantages in a district with a demonstrated Democratic tilt in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Dean incorporates these fundamentals, though shifts in national economic conditions, turnout patterns, or unexpected campaign developments could still alter the margin before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,259วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Madeleine Dean holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 4th Congressional District race heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition in Montgomery and Berks counties and Dean’s consistent electoral performance since taking office in 2019. She advanced unopposed through the May 19 Democratic primary and benefits from substantial fundraising and committee roles on Appropriations and Foreign Affairs. Challenger Aurora Stuski, a local business owner who also ran unopposed in the Republican primary, focuses on cost reduction, border security, and community priorities but faces structural disadvantages in a district with a demonstrated Democratic tilt in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Dean incorporates these fundamentals, though shifts in national economic conditions, turnout patterns, or unexpected campaign developments could still alter the margin before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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