Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan's 12th Congressional District after defeating primary challengers in the August 4, 2026, contest, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+21, underpins trader consensus on her commanding lead. Incumbency advantages, substantial fundraising, and prior general-election margins near 70 percent further reinforce this positioning against Republican nominee James Hooper. Realistic shifts in odds would require a major national political realignment, significant late-cycle developments, or an unforeseen event altering the general-election dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-12 House Election Winner
MI-12 House Election Winner
$39,214 ปริมาณ
$39,214 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Rashida Tlaib (D)
95%
James Hooper (R)
1%
$39,214 ปริมาณ
$39,214 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Rashida Tlaib (D)
$21,751 ปริมาณ
95%
James Hooper (R)
$17,463 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan's 12th Congressional District after defeating primary challengers in the August 4, 2026, contest, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+21, underpins trader consensus on her commanding lead. Incumbency advantages, substantial fundraising, and prior general-election margins near 70 percent further reinforce this positioning against Republican nominee James Hooper. Realistic shifts in odds would require a major national political realignment, significant late-cycle developments, or an unforeseen event altering the general-election dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,214วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan's 12th Congressional District after defeating primary challengers in the August 4, 2026, contest, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+21, underpins trader consensus on her commanding lead. Incumbency advantages, substantial fundraising, and prior general-election margins near 70 percent further reinforce this positioning against Republican nominee James Hooper. Realistic shifts in odds would require a major national political realignment, significant late-cycle developments, or an unforeseen event altering the general-election dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,214วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan's 12th Congressional District after defeating primary challengers in the August 4, 2026, contest, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+21, underpins trader consensus on her commanding lead. Incumbency advantages, substantial fundraising, and prior general-election margins near 70 percent further reinforce this positioning against Republican nominee James Hooper. Realistic shifts in odds would require a major national political realignment, significant late-cycle developments, or an unforeseen event altering the general-election dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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