Louisiana’s 1st congressional district carries a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Scalise, first elected in 2008 and serving as House Majority Leader, faces only limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington and Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as Solid Republican, and no significant developments have altered the competitive landscape since candidate filings opened. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Republican nominee a commanding implied probability of victory. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major scandal or health event affecting Scalise, unusually high Democratic turnout in the November 3 jungle primary, or an unexpected runoff dynamic on December 12.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLA-01 House Election Winner
LA-01 House Election Winner
$52,223 ปริมาณ
$52,223 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
5%
$52,223 ปริมาณ
$52,223 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$22,399 ปริมาณ
96%
Democratic Party
$29,823 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st congressional district carries a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Scalise, first elected in 2008 and serving as House Majority Leader, faces only limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington and Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as Solid Republican, and no significant developments have altered the competitive landscape since candidate filings opened. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Republican nominee a commanding implied probability of victory. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major scandal or health event affecting Scalise, unusually high Democratic turnout in the November 3 jungle primary, or an unexpected runoff dynamic on December 12.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,223วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st congressional district carries a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Scalise, first elected in 2008 and serving as House Majority Leader, faces only limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington and Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as Solid Republican, and no significant developments have altered the competitive landscape since candidate filings opened. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Republican nominee a commanding implied probability of victory. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major scandal or health event affecting Scalise, unusually high Democratic turnout in the November 3 jungle primary, or an unexpected runoff dynamic on December 12.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,223วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 1st congressional district carries a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Scalise, first elected in 2008 and serving as House Majority Leader, faces only limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington and Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as Solid Republican, and no significant developments have altered the competitive landscape since candidate filings opened. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Republican nominee a commanding implied probability of victory. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major scandal or health event affecting Scalise, unusually high Democratic turnout in the November 3 jungle primary, or an unexpected runoff dynamic on December 12.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย