Recent polling volatility and competition within Israel's fragmented opposition bloc drive the wide distribution of probabilities for Together's Knesset seats. The Bennett-Lapid alliance, formed in April 2026 to consolidate center-right and centrist voters, has shown declining trends in multiple September surveys, often trailing Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party while facing pressure from smaller lists near the 3.25% threshold. Proportional representation and coalition math amplify sensitivity to turnout shifts, security developments, or last-minute mergers ahead of the October 27 election. Traders appear to price in this uncertainty, with the heaviest weighting on mid-range outcomes amid ongoing bloc realignments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว11-13 32%
14-16 24%
8-10 24%
<8 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<8
17%
8-10
24%
11-13
32%
14-16
24%
17-19
5%
20+
4%
11-13 32%
14-16 24%
8-10 24%
<8 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<8
$958 ปริมาณ
17%
8-10
$383 ปริมาณ
24%
11-13
$292 ปริมาณ
32%
14-16
$207 ปริมาณ
24%
17-19
$60 ปริมาณ
5%
20+
$90 ปริมาณ
4%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Together in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling volatility and competition within Israel's fragmented opposition bloc drive the wide distribution of probabilities for Together's Knesset seats. The Bennett-Lapid alliance, formed in April 2026 to consolidate center-right and centrist voters, has shown declining trends in multiple September surveys, often trailing Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party while facing pressure from smaller lists near the 3.25% threshold. Proportional representation and coalition math amplify sensitivity to turnout shifts, security developments, or last-minute mergers ahead of the October 27 election. Traders appear to price in this uncertainty, with the heaviest weighting on mid-range outcomes amid ongoing bloc realignments.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Together in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Together in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,989วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 5:41 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Together in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling volatility and competition within Israel's fragmented opposition bloc drive the wide distribution of probabilities for Together's Knesset seats. The Bennett-Lapid alliance, formed in April 2026 to consolidate center-right and centrist voters, has shown declining trends in multiple September surveys, often trailing Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party while facing pressure from smaller lists near the 3.25% threshold. Proportional representation and coalition math amplify sensitivity to turnout shifts, security developments, or last-minute mergers ahead of the October 27 election. Traders appear to price in this uncertainty, with the heaviest weighting on mid-range outcomes amid ongoing bloc realignments.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Together in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Together in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,989วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 5:41 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling volatility and competition within Israel's fragmented opposition bloc drive the wide distribution of probabilities for Together's Knesset seats. The Bennett-Lapid alliance, formed in April 2026 to consolidate center-right and centrist voters, has shown declining trends in multiple September surveys, often trailing Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party while facing pressure from smaller lists near the 3.25% threshold. Proportional representation and coalition math amplify sensitivity to turnout shifts, security developments, or last-minute mergers ahead of the October 27 election. Traders appear to price in this uncertainty, with the heaviest weighting on mid-range outcomes amid ongoing bloc realignments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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