Recent polling averages place the reunified Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) near 7-8 seats in Israel's October 27, 2026, election, translating to roughly 6% vote share amid Arab bloc totals near 13 seats. Key drivers include the August 2026 re-formation of the alliance after prior splits, which consolidated support among Arab voters, alongside a surplus-vote agreement with Ra'am. Petitions seeking disqualification of the Joint List and other parties remain pending before the Central Elections Committee, with decisions due by September 27. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty over final Arab turnout, any late legal rulings, and the impact of these factors on crossing or exceeding typical thresholds in a tight overall race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว6.5-7.5% 30%
4.5-5.5% 24%
5.5-6.5% 22%
7.5%+ 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<4.5%
12%
4.5-5.5%
22%
5.5-6.5%
39%
6.5-7.5%
40%
7.5%+
22%
6.5-7.5% 30%
4.5-5.5% 24%
5.5-6.5% 22%
7.5%+ 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<4.5%
$238 ปริมาณ
12%
4.5-5.5%
$136 ปริมาณ
22%
5.5-6.5%
$115 ปริมาณ
39%
6.5-7.5%
$271 ปริมาณ
40%
7.5%+
$154 ปริมาณ
22%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling averages place the reunified Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) near 7-8 seats in Israel's October 27, 2026, election, translating to roughly 6% vote share amid Arab bloc totals near 13 seats. Key drivers include the August 2026 re-formation of the alliance after prior splits, which consolidated support among Arab voters, alongside a surplus-vote agreement with Ra'am. Petitions seeking disqualification of the Joint List and other parties remain pending before the Central Elections Committee, with decisions due by September 27. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty over final Arab turnout, any late legal rulings, and the impact of these factors on crossing or exceeding typical thresholds in a tight overall race.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$914วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling averages place the reunified Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) near 7-8 seats in Israel's October 27, 2026, election, translating to roughly 6% vote share amid Arab bloc totals near 13 seats. Key drivers include the August 2026 re-formation of the alliance after prior splits, which consolidated support among Arab voters, alongside a surplus-vote agreement with Ra'am. Petitions seeking disqualification of the Joint List and other parties remain pending before the Central Elections Committee, with decisions due by September 27. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty over final Arab turnout, any late legal rulings, and the impact of these factors on crossing or exceeding typical thresholds in a tight overall race.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$914วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the reunified Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) near 7-8 seats in Israel's October 27, 2026, election, translating to roughly 6% vote share amid Arab bloc totals near 13 seats. Key drivers include the August 2026 re-formation of the alliance after prior splits, which consolidated support among Arab voters, alongside a surplus-vote agreement with Ra'am. Petitions seeking disqualification of the Joint List and other parties remain pending before the Central Elections Committee, with decisions due by September 27. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty over final Arab turnout, any late legal rulings, and the impact of these factors on crossing or exceeding typical thresholds in a tight overall race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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