Recent polls place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party in the low-to-mid 20s Knesset seats, with figures ranging from 22 to 25 in surveys from Channel 12, Maariv, and i24NEWS through early September. This positioning stems from steady gains among centrist and opposition voters drawn to the party’s focus on governance reform and an October 7 inquiry commission, alongside losses for Naftali Bennett’s Together list and smaller right-wing factions. Fragmentation among threshold parties, including the Reservists slate and Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael, continues to shift marginal votes without yet consolidating a clear majority bloc. The October 27 election timeline and potential last-minute alliances remain the primary variables that could move seat totals beyond the current trading range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIsrael Election: Yashar # of seats?
22-23 30%
30+ 16%
24-25 15%
26-27 11%
<20
7%
20-21
8%
22-23
30%
24-25
15%
26-27
11%
28-29
10%
30+
16%
22-23 30%
30+ 16%
24-25 15%
26-27 11%
<20
7%
20-21
8%
22-23
30%
24-25
15%
26-27
11%
28-29
10%
30+
16%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party in the low-to-mid 20s Knesset seats, with figures ranging from 22 to 25 in surveys from Channel 12, Maariv, and i24NEWS through early September. This positioning stems from steady gains among centrist and opposition voters drawn to the party’s focus on governance reform and an October 7 inquiry commission, alongside losses for Naftali Bennett’s Together list and smaller right-wing factions. Fragmentation among threshold parties, including the Reservists slate and Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael, continues to shift marginal votes without yet consolidating a clear majority bloc. The October 27 election timeline and potential last-minute alliances remain the primary variables that could move seat totals beyond the current trading range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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