Juliana Stratton's commanding position in the 2026 Illinois Senate race stems from the state's consistent Democratic lean in recent statewide contests, her victory in the March Democratic primary with 40.4% of the vote backed by Governor JB Pritzker's organization and fundraising, and the open-seat dynamics following Dick Durbin's retirement. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair who won his low-visibility primary with 40%, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats have dominated Senate elections for over a decade. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic ahead of the November general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific developments, or unusually high Republican turnout, though these face significant barriers given Illinois voter patterns and the absence of competitive general election polling to date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIllinois Senate Election Winner
Illinois Senate Election Winner
$32,370 ปริมาณ
$32,370 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
96%
Don Tracy (R)
4%
$32,370 ปริมาณ
$32,370 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
$16,811 ปริมาณ
96%
Don Tracy (R)
$15,559 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Juliana Stratton's commanding position in the 2026 Illinois Senate race stems from the state's consistent Democratic lean in recent statewide contests, her victory in the March Democratic primary with 40.4% of the vote backed by Governor JB Pritzker's organization and fundraising, and the open-seat dynamics following Dick Durbin's retirement. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair who won his low-visibility primary with 40%, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats have dominated Senate elections for over a decade. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic ahead of the November general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific developments, or unusually high Republican turnout, though these face significant barriers given Illinois voter patterns and the absence of competitive general election polling to date.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,370วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Juliana Stratton's commanding position in the 2026 Illinois Senate race stems from the state's consistent Democratic lean in recent statewide contests, her victory in the March Democratic primary with 40.4% of the vote backed by Governor JB Pritzker's organization and fundraising, and the open-seat dynamics following Dick Durbin's retirement. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair who won his low-visibility primary with 40%, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats have dominated Senate elections for over a decade. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic ahead of the November general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific developments, or unusually high Republican turnout, though these face significant barriers given Illinois voter patterns and the absence of competitive general election polling to date.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,370วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Juliana Stratton's commanding position in the 2026 Illinois Senate race stems from the state's consistent Democratic lean in recent statewide contests, her victory in the March Democratic primary with 40.4% of the vote backed by Governor JB Pritzker's organization and fundraising, and the open-seat dynamics following Dick Durbin's retirement. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair who won his low-visibility primary with 40%, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats have dominated Senate elections for over a decade. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic ahead of the November general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific developments, or unusually high Republican turnout, though these face significant barriers given Illinois voter patterns and the absence of competitive general election polling to date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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