Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera holds an 85% implied probability as the Colima governor election winner, reflecting trader consensus on Morena’s dominant position in the state ahead of the 2027 contest. In late August 2026, Morena’s national leadership designated her as state coordinator for the Defensa de la Transformación after internal surveys, effectively positioning her as the party’s standard-bearer to succeed term-limited Governor Indira Vizcaíno. This followed her registration alongside Griselda Valencia de la Mora and Joel Padilla Peña in June 2026, with Bayardo receiving prominent backing tied to her record as Manzanillo mayor and alignment with federal priorities. Opposition figures such as Riult Rivera Gutiérrez and others remain at single-digit probabilities amid fragmented support and Morena’s polling edge. Upcoming federal visits and party consolidation efforts through September continue to shape positioning in this Morena-leaning contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRosa María Bayardo Cabrera 85%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 5.4%
Gricelda Valencia de la Mora 2.9%
Joel Padilla Peña 2.6%
$36,016 ปริมาณ
$36,016 ปริมาณ
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
85%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
5%
Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
3%
Joel Padilla Peña
3%
María Cristina Lupien
2%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos
2%
Sofía Peralta Ferro
2%
Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
2%
Margarita Moreno González
2%
Griselda Martínez Martínez
2%
Mely Romero Celis
1%
Mario Delgado Carrillo
1%
José Israel González
1%
Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
1%
Viridiana Valencia Vargas
1%
Enrique Rojas Orozco
1%
Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
1%
Hilda Lizette Moreno
<1%
César Yáñez Centeno
<1%
José Manuel Romero Coello
<1%
Esther Gutiérrez
<1%
Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
<1%
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 85%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 5.4%
Gricelda Valencia de la Mora 2.9%
Joel Padilla Peña 2.6%
$36,016 ปริมาณ
$36,016 ปริมาณ
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
85%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
5%
Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
3%
Joel Padilla Peña
3%
María Cristina Lupien
2%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos
2%
Sofía Peralta Ferro
2%
Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
2%
Margarita Moreno González
2%
Griselda Martínez Martínez
2%
Mely Romero Celis
1%
Mario Delgado Carrillo
1%
José Israel González
1%
Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
1%
Viridiana Valencia Vargas
1%
Enrique Rojas Orozco
1%
Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
1%
Hilda Lizette Moreno
<1%
César Yáñez Centeno
<1%
José Manuel Romero Coello
<1%
Esther Gutiérrez
<1%
Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera holds an 85% implied probability as the Colima governor election winner, reflecting trader consensus on Morena’s dominant position in the state ahead of the 2027 contest. In late August 2026, Morena’s national leadership designated her as state coordinator for the Defensa de la Transformación after internal surveys, effectively positioning her as the party’s standard-bearer to succeed term-limited Governor Indira Vizcaíno. This followed her registration alongside Griselda Valencia de la Mora and Joel Padilla Peña in June 2026, with Bayardo receiving prominent backing tied to her record as Manzanillo mayor and alignment with federal priorities. Opposition figures such as Riult Rivera Gutiérrez and others remain at single-digit probabilities amid fragmented support and Morena’s polling edge. Upcoming federal visits and party consolidation efforts through September continue to shape positioning in this Morena-leaning contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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