Lula leads the implied probability for first place in Amazonas' October 4 first-round presidential voting at 66.5 percent, ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 33.5 percent, with all other listed candidates at or below 0.2 percent. Recent state-level surveys from August, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest, showed the two frontrunners statistically tied or with Lula holding a narrow edge around 38-40 percent to 35-39 percent, driven by the president's stronger support in the state's interior municipalities offsetting Flávio Bolsonaro's competitiveness in Manaus. National polling trends and regional factors such as incumbency advantages, voter turnout patterns among key blocs, and campaign focus on development and security issues have reinforced trader consensus on Lula's position in this state contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLula 66%
Flavio Bolsonaro 34%
Clariana Barao <1%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
$25,845 ปริมาณ
$25,845 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
66%
Flavio Bolsonaro
34%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Lula 66%
Flavio Bolsonaro 34%
Clariana Barao <1%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
$25,845 ปริมาณ
$25,845 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$8,168 ปริมาณ
66%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$9,124 ปริมาณ
34%
Clariana Barao
$823 ปริมาณ
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$751 ปริมาณ
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$729 ปริมาณ
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$571 ปริมาณ
<1%
Hertz Dias
$747 ปริมาณ
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$836 ปริมาณ
<1%
Renan Santos
$1,149 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$855 ปริมาณ
<1%
Samara
$542 ปริมาณ
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$908 ปริมาณ
<1%
Zema
$641 ปริมาณ
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula leads the implied probability for first place in Amazonas' October 4 first-round presidential voting at 66.5 percent, ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 33.5 percent, with all other listed candidates at or below 0.2 percent. Recent state-level surveys from August, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest, showed the two frontrunners statistically tied or with Lula holding a narrow edge around 38-40 percent to 35-39 percent, driven by the president's stronger support in the state's interior municipalities offsetting Flávio Bolsonaro's competitiveness in Manaus. National polling trends and regional factors such as incumbency advantages, voter turnout patterns among key blocs, and campaign focus on development and security issues have reinforced trader consensus on Lula's position in this state contest.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,845วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula leads the implied probability for first place in Amazonas' October 4 first-round presidential voting at 66.5 percent, ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 33.5 percent, with all other listed candidates at or below 0.2 percent. Recent state-level surveys from August, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest, showed the two frontrunners statistically tied or with Lula holding a narrow edge around 38-40 percent to 35-39 percent, driven by the president's stronger support in the state's interior municipalities offsetting Flávio Bolsonaro's competitiveness in Manaus. National polling trends and regional factors such as incumbency advantages, voter turnout patterns among key blocs, and campaign focus on development and security issues have reinforced trader consensus on Lula's position in this state contest.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,845วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Lula leads the implied probability for first place in Amazonas' October 4 first-round presidential voting at 66.5 percent, ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 33.5 percent, with all other listed candidates at or below 0.2 percent. Recent state-level surveys from August, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest, showed the two frontrunners statistically tied or with Lula holding a narrow edge around 38-40 percent to 35-39 percent, driven by the president's stronger support in the state's interior municipalities offsetting Flávio Bolsonaro's competitiveness in Manaus. National polling trends and regional factors such as incumbency advantages, voter turnout patterns among key blocs, and campaign focus on development and security issues have reinforced trader consensus on Lula's position in this state contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย